for the Diabetes Prevention Program* OBJECTIVE-To determine whether baseline adiponectin levels or intervention-associated change in adiponectin levels were independently associated with progression to diabetes in the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP).
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS-Coxproportional hazards analysis was used to evaluate the contribution of adiponectin and treatment-related change in adiponectin to risk of progression to diabetes.RESULTS-Baseline adiponectin was a strong independent predictor of incident diabetes in all treatment groups (hazard ratio per ϳ3 g/ml higher level; 0.61 in the lifestyle , 0.76 in the metformin, and the 0.79 in placebo groups; all P Ͻ 0.001, P ϭ 0.13 comparing groups). Baseline differences in adiponectin between sexes and race/ethnicity groups were not reflected in differences in diabetes risk. DPP interventions increased adiponectin levels ([means Ϯ SE] 0.83 Ϯ 0.05 g/ml in the lifestyle group, 0.23 Ϯ 0.05 g/ml in the metformin group, and 0.10 Ϯ 0.05 g/ml in the placebo group; P Ͻ 0.001 for increases versus baseline, P Ͻ 0.01 comparing groups). These increases were associated with reductions in diabetes incidence independent of baseline adiponectin levels in the lifestyle and placebo groups but not in the metformin subjects (hazard ratio 0.72 in the lifestyle group (P Ͻ 0.001), 0.92 in the metformin group (P ϭ 0.18), and 0.89 in the placebo group; P ϭ 0.02 per ϳ1 g/ml increase, P ϭ 0.02 comparing groups). In the lifestyle group, adjusting for change in weight reduced, but did not remove, the effect of increased adiponectin.CONCLUSIONS-Adiponectin is a powerful marker of diabetes risk in subjects at high risk for diabetes, even after adjustment for weight. An increase in adiponectin in the lifestyle and placebo groups was associated with a reduction in diabetes risk. However, these changes in adiponectin were comparatively small and less strongly related to diabetes outcome than baseline adiponectin levels. Diabetes 57:980-986, 2008 A diponectin, the dominant secretory product of adipocytes, is a marker and perhaps a mediator of metabolic and cardiovascular disease risk (1-4). In a number of case-control and cohort studies (1,5-15), adiponectin levels have been found to be inversely associated with insulin sensitivity, conversion to diabetes, and risk of myocardial infarction. These associations remain significant after adjustment for baseline measures of obesity, suggesting that adiponectin reflects components of metabolic and vascular risk beyond those encompassed in obesity alone. The measurement of adiponectin may therefore carry additional prognostic value for diabetes and heart disease beyond the currently recognized set of risk factors.Furthermore, in experimental studies in animal models exogenous adiponectin reversed insulin resistance (16) and protected against diet-induced insulin resistance (17). Impairing adiponectin production or adiponectin receptor function predisposed to impairments in metabolism (18 -20). These observations, together with the epidemiologic ...