Background
Lactate clearance is a standard resuscitation goal in patients in non-traumatic shock but has not been investigated adequately as a tool to identify trauma patients at risk of dying. Our objective was to determine if trauma patients with impaired lactate clearance have a higher 24-hour mortality rate than patients whose lactate concentration normalizes.
Methods
A retrospective chart review identified patients who were admitted directly from the scene of injury to an urban trauma center between 2010 and 2013 and who had at least one lactate concentration measurement within 24 hours. Transfers, patients without lactate measurement, and those who were dead on arrival were excluded. Of the 26,545 screened patients, 18,304 constituted the initial lactate measurement population and 3,887 were the lactate clearance cohorts.
Results
Initial lactate had an area-under-the-receiver operating curve of 0.86 and 0.73 for mortality at 24 hours and in-hospital, respectively. An initial concentration ≥3 mmol/L had sensitivity of 0.86 and specificity of 0.73 for mortality at 24 hours. The mortality rate among patients with elevated lactate concentrations (n=2381, 5.6±2.8 mmol/L) that did not decline to <2.0 mmol/L in response to resuscitative efforts (mean second measurement, 3.7±1.9 mmol/L) was nearly seven times higher (4.1% vs 0.6% [p<0.001]) than among those with an elevated concentration (n=1506, 5.3±2.7 mmol/L) that normalized (1.4±0.4 mmol/L). Logistic regression analysis showed that failure to clear lactate was associated with death more than any other feature (OR=7.4; CI, 1.5–35.5), except having an Injury Severity Score >25 (OR=8.2; CI, 2.7–25.2).
Conclusions
Failure to clear lactate is a strong negative prognostic marker after injury. An initial lactate measurement combined with a second measurement for high-risk individuals might constitute a useful method of risk-stratifying injured patients.