The invention of composite solid propellants enabled close packing of fuel and oxidizer particles, leading to modern propellants. The superior mechanical properties of the polymer matrix allowed more propellant to be placed in a rocket motor pressure vessel through case bonding (bonding propellant directly to the vessel case). Propellants are often stored for periods of up to 20 to 40 years during which time they can degrade under the action of environmental conditions. This may eventually be manifested through formation of surface cracks. Degradation over time, or aging, is therefore important.Aging is a complex mechanical and chemical process, involving multi-scale, multidisciplinary mechanisms, from atomic, molecular scale to micro-and macro-scale events. Many of its intimate details are poorly understood, making aging prediction a challenge. Our research has shown that a mechanical property, tangent modulus, is a key aging indicator. Data base analysis showed a connection with strain rate, ambient storage time, gel fraction of the matrix polymer, matrix cross link density, molecular weight of the polymer sol, and propellant density may exist. A dimensionless ratio containing these parameters was formed to predict propellant failure. Statistical analysis showed that HTPB iodine number and normalized absorbance also correlate with tangent modulus.