Advancement of risk analysis methods during prolonging the service life of industrial equipment

Abstract

The aim of the work was to trace the relationship between the durability of the equipment and its maintenance strategy. This is done by examples of basic structures of industrial equipment. They have a long service life and during this time manage to accumulate certain damages that need to be diagnosed, after which decisions on its maintenance and repair must be made. Problems associated with the technique for extending the service life of industrial equipment are addressed. The authors have created a technique called the resource safety index (RSI), which uses this characteristic as a diagnostic metric. The usage of the risk function to control the technical state of base structures is shown in this study. It is demonstrated how the behavior of the risk function affects the choice of the inspection model. A risk function model for base structures is proposed, which is based on the concepts of stepwise assignment of the limit state and the corresponding useful life. An algorithm for determining the optimal period of restoration measures according to minimizing the cost intensity criterion, where the risk indicator is a parameter, has been developed. The proposed concepts were put into practice when deciding on the further operation of the housings of the 350 pipes rolling unit. The housings of the piercing mill and the automatic mill, which had been in operation for 80 years, were diagnosed. For the first time, it was discovered that the housings risk function at the crack break through point stage can be represented by a linear dependence directly proportional to the accumulation of operating time. One of the signs of deterioration in the technical condition of rolling mill stands is a malfunction of the system of fixing and securing the housings.