Executive SummaryWe conducted this economic analysis at the request of USDA-APHIS-PPQ-EDP. Our objective was to quantitatively characterize the economic costs to apple, grape, orange and pear crops that would result from the introduction of the light brown apple moth (LBAM), Epiphyas postvittana, into the conterminous United States. This information can be used to inform regulatory policy and funding decisions regarding LBAM.Our economic analysis had two components: 1) a geospatial analysis that identified areas at risk for LBAM establishment based on climate and hosts and 2) a quantitative analysis, using a probabilistic modeling approach, which estimated the economic losses LBAM could cause if introduced into these areas due to damage, control, quarantines and research. Economic effects outside of the agricultural crop (apple, grape, orange and pear) production sector, e.g. trade effects, are beyond the scope of this analysis and are not provided.Our geospatial analysis estimated that LBAM could establish throughout the majority of the conterminous United States. This establishment range included the majority of the growing area for the analyzed crops.Our quantitative model estimated the mean total annual costs if LBAM were introduced in the at-risk areas to be $118 million. The 5 th and 95 th percentile values were: $86 million and $150 million, i.e. 95 percent of the time, total annual costs exceeded $86 million.The combined results of our geospatial and quantitative analyses indicate that LBAM could cause substantial economic losses to U.S. apple, grape, orange and pear crops if introduced throughout the conterminous United States. We note LBAM is highly polyphagous and would probably cause additional economic damage to other crops and sectors of the U.S. economy, e.g. domestic and international trade. Also, because LBAM can occur in nursery stock,