Coastal flood risk will increase over the coming decades as sea level rise accelerates,
storm patterns change and coastal populations grow. This will likely lead to
a surge in costs to build and maintain reliable flood safety infrastructure. Hence,
innovative nature-based solutions that use coastal ecosystems are gaining attention.
Nature-based flood defence is a potentially sustainable and cost-effective solution to
reduce coastal flood risk, that can be carried out with ecosystems such as mangrove
forests, saltmarshes or coral reefs. Mangrove forests are increasingly
studied for nature-based flood defence across the subtropical and tropical latitudes,
as their sturdy vegetation can effectively attenuate flow energy from waves – surge
attenuation with mangroves remains less well understood. Wider and denser forests
provide more wave attenuation. As mangroves naturally fluctuate in size, so does
their wave attenuation capacity. Consequently, to reliably estimate the safety of a mangrove-based flood defence, it is necessary to understand the long-term development
of the mangrove forest.
The studies presented in this thesis contribute important datasets and mechanistic
principles that can be used to advance mangrove forest development models
and estimate long-term flood protection capacity with coastal mangroves.