This is the accepted version of the paper.This version of the publication may differ from the final published version. Bates, our referee, for helpful comments and suggestions. We are also grateful to Torben Andersen, Giovanni Barone-Adesi, Francesco
Permanent repository linkCorielli, Christian Gourieroux, Peter Gruber, Patrick Gagliardini, Loriano Mancini, Nour Meddahi, Alain Monfort, Fulvio Pegoraro, Roberto Renó, Viktor Todorov, and Fabio Trojani for their constructive discussions and remarks. We also thank the participants at the SoFiE conference held in Chicago. All errors are our own responsibility. The authors acknowledge the Swiss National Science Foundation Pro*Doc program, the NCCR FinRisk, and the Swiss Finance Institute for partial financial support.
AbstractWe develop a discrete-time stochastic volatility option pricing model exploiting the information contained in the Realized Volatility (RV), which is used as a proxy of the unobservable log-return volatility. We model the RV dynamics by a simple and effective long-memory process, whose parameters can be easily estimated using historical data. Assuming an exponentially affine stochastic discount factor, we obtain a fully analytic change of measure. An empirical analysis of Standard and Poor's 500 index options illustrates that our model outperforms competing time-varying and stochastic volatility option pricing models.