2020
DOI: 10.15666/aeer/1805_68416856
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African Swine Fever in Poland – Prevalence, Pathways and Potential Spread and Reduction Possibilities

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“…Our study found no positive samples in the wild boars we examined (year 2011-2019), but at the time of writing, ASF outbreaks have been recorded in three Italian regions: Piedmont, Liguria, and Lazio, with an estimated R 0 of 1.41 in Piedmont/Liguria and 1.66 in Lazio [83]. The Italian outbreaks seem limited, and according to Loi et al [83] and Salazar et al, 2022 [86], the strong impact of the fragmentation of territories (i.e., sites into urban areas and the linkage of these sites via roads and railroads) has limited the propagation of ASF, contrary to a homogeneous landscape less anthropized, which seems to favor its diffusion, e.g., in Polonia, where in 2019 there were 2477 cases diagnosed of ASF [87] or in Lithuania with the maximum prevalence of 87.5% in May 2018 [88]. Surveillance of found-dead wild boars should allow the early detection of the virus, but for the passive surveillance system to be effective, a large number of carcasses must be found and analyzed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our study found no positive samples in the wild boars we examined (year 2011-2019), but at the time of writing, ASF outbreaks have been recorded in three Italian regions: Piedmont, Liguria, and Lazio, with an estimated R 0 of 1.41 in Piedmont/Liguria and 1.66 in Lazio [83]. The Italian outbreaks seem limited, and according to Loi et al [83] and Salazar et al, 2022 [86], the strong impact of the fragmentation of territories (i.e., sites into urban areas and the linkage of these sites via roads and railroads) has limited the propagation of ASF, contrary to a homogeneous landscape less anthropized, which seems to favor its diffusion, e.g., in Polonia, where in 2019 there were 2477 cases diagnosed of ASF [87] or in Lithuania with the maximum prevalence of 87.5% in May 2018 [88]. Surveillance of found-dead wild boars should allow the early detection of the virus, but for the passive surveillance system to be effective, a large number of carcasses must be found and analyzed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%