Age and size outperform topographic effects on growth-climate responses of trees in two Central European coniferous forest types

Mašek, Jiří; Tumajer, Jan; Rydval, Miloš; Lange, Jelena; Treml, Václav

doi:10.1016/j.dendro.2021.125845

Cited by 10 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…Another approach is the analysis of tree rings in regards to past climate change. Several such studies reveal that trees of different age and size vary in their growth response to past climatic variation (see Au et al., 2022 ; Carrer & Urbinati, 2004 ; Depardieu et al., 2020 ; Housset et al., 2018 ; Latreille et al., 2017 ; Marquis et al., 2020 ; Mašek et al., 2021 ; Pompa‐Garcıa & Hadad, 2016 ). Unless the entire historical population can be sampled (including dead trees), studying only those individuals who survived past climatic fluctuations may, however, lead to an overestimation of tolerance in older age classes due to survivor bias (Duchesne et al., 2019 , similar to the slow‐grower survivorship bias reported in Brienen et al., 2012 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While younger life stages are generally thought to be less tolerant to climatic stress than larger trees (e.g., Black & Bliss, 1980 ; Kueppers et al., 2017 ; Munier et al., 2010 ; Pompa‐Garcıa & Hadad, 2016 , though see Du et al., 2019 for an exception), several considerations may make our predictions about the best provenance more complex. First, younger and older stages may be sensitive to different climatic factors, rather than overall less or more tolerant to any stress (Mašek et al., 2021 ). Competition within and between species is a strong determinant of survival, especially in younger trees (Kunstler et al., 2021 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Only a few recent models have, however, begun to investigate how different assisted gene flow strategies can accelerate adaptation (DeFilippo et al., 2022 ; Grummer et al., 2022 ; Quigley et al., 2019 ), and even fewer have attempted to quantify the demographic consequences of assisted gene flow and its impact on population persistence and function (e.g., Bay et al., 2017 ; Kelly & Phillips, 2019 ; Kuparinen & Uusi‐Heikkilä, 2020 ). Many organisms targeted for assisted gene flow, such as trees or corals, are long‐lived and have complex life cycles: life cycle stages (e.g., seed, seedling, sapling, pole, mature tree and senescent stages) differ in their tolerance to climatic variables (Du et al., 2019 ; Mašek et al., 2021 ; Pompa‐Garcıa & Hadad, 2016 ), and different individuals may spend different amounts of time in each stage before growing to the next (Jackson et al., 2009 ). Yet, we have little insight into how complex life cycles may affect optimal assisted gene flow strategies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Planting long‐lived trees in a warming climate: Theory shows the importance of stage‐dependent climatic tolerance

Erlichman,

Sandell,

Otto

et al. 2024

Evolutionary Applications

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Climate change poses a particular threat to long‐lived trees, which may not adapt or migrate fast enough to keep up with rising temperatures. Assisted gene flow could facilitate adaptation of populations to future climates by using managed translocation of seeds from a warmer location (provenance) within the current range of a species. Finding the provenance that will perform best in terms of survival or growth is complicated by a trade‐off. Because trees face a rapidly changing climate during their long lives, the alleles that confer optimal performance may vary across their lifespan. For instance, trees from warmer provenances could be well adapted as adults but suffer from colder temperatures while juvenile. Here we use a stage‐structured model, using both analytical predictions and numerical simulations, to determine which provenance would maximize the survival of a cohort of long‐lived trees in a changing climate. We parameterize our simulations using empirically estimated demographic transition matrices for 20 long‐lived tree species. Unable to find reliable quantitative estimates of how climatic tolerance changes across stages in these same species, we varied this parameter to study its effect. Both our mathematical model and simulations predict that the best provenance depends strongly on how fast the climate changes and also how climatic tolerance varies across the lifespan of a tree. We thus call for increased empirical efforts to measure how climate tolerance changes over life in long‐lived species, as our model suggests that it should strongly influence the best provenance for assisted gene flow.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Planting long‐lived trees in a warming climate: Theory shows the importance of stage‐dependent climatic tolerance

Erlichman,

Sandell,

Otto

et al. 2024

Evolutionary Applications

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…It was assumed here that the relationship between growth and climate did not vary with age once the low-frequency signal had been removed with standardisation. However, several authors have shown that age can have an in uence on the sensitivity of growth to climate, and that this can vary depending on the species (Carrer and Urbinati 2004; Konter et al 2016;Mašek et al 2021). The age effect could therefore be another explanation for the observed change in the growth-climate relationships.…”

Section: Climate-growth Relationships Stability Through Timementioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the growth response to climate of Douglas fir under European temperate oceanic conditions

Guisset,

Ponette,

Vincke

2023

Preprint

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Douglas-fir has been largely introduced in Europe due to its high productivity. Although it is considered as a relatively drought tolerant species, its ability to cope with climate change remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate Douglas fir growth response to climate in its current climatic optimum in Europe. A total of 720 cores were taken from 360 trees in 24 adult Douglas fir stands in the Belgian Ardennes, spanning a range of annual climatic water balance (368–700 mm), estimated maximal soil extractable water reserve, and stand basal area (30–53 m²/ha). Climate-growth relationships over the 1976–2020 period were investigated through Bootstrapped Correlation Coefficients (BCCs) calculation on detrended chronologies. Principal Component Analysis was computed on the BCCs to explore how growth response could be modulated according to the three above-mentioned site and stand characteristics. Radial growth was favoured by mild and wet late winters-early springs; warmer temperatures at the end of the growing season and in winter; and wetter early summers. The studied site and stand conditions did not influenced these climate-growth relationships, indicating a strong tree species response to climate. BCCs computed on moving windows showed an increased Douglas fir sensitivity to summer water deficit over time, which could offset its ability to benefit from higher temperatures in the late growing season and in winter in the future.

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“…We then conducted a multiple regression analysis with the selected climate indicators to identify the climate factors that lead to tree ring variability. In addition, we used the selected climate indicators and the principal component chronology for correlation analysis to find the driving factors of the first two principal components [34]. We took the square of the correlation coefficient between RWIs and selected climate variables (r 2 ) because the r 2 in univariate linear regression refers to the variance explained by a regressor [26,35], enabling us to estimate the potential impact of corresponding climate variables on tree growth trends.…”

Section: Radial Growth-climate Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Directional Variability in Response of Pinus koraiensis Radial Growth to Climate Change

Sun

Henderson

Liu

et al. 2021

Forests

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Climate change affects forest ecosystems at a variety of scales, from the composition of landscapes to the growth of individual trees. Research across regions and tree species has produced contradictory findings on the effects of climate variables on radial growth. Here, we examine tree ring samples taken from four directions of a tree to determine whether there is directional variability in tree growth in relation to climate trends. The results showed directional differences in the temporal growth processes of Pinus koraiensis, with more commonalities between the west and north directions and between the east and south directions. The contemporaneous June maximum temperature was the main climate factor associated with the difference between the growth of tree rings toward the east or west. Annual tree ring growth toward the east was more affected by the year’s temperature while growth toward the south was more sensitive to the year’s precipitation. Our research demonstrates that diverse response of tree growth to climate may exist at intra-individual scale. This contributes to understanding the sensitivity of tree growth to climate change at differ scales.

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Age and size outperform topographic effects on growth-climate responses of trees in two Central European coniferous forest types

Cited by 10 publications

References 56 publications

Planting long‐lived trees in a warming climate: Theory shows the importance of stage‐dependent climatic tolerance

Planting long‐lived trees in a warming climate: Theory shows the importance of stage‐dependent climatic tolerance

Assessing the growth response to climate of Douglas fir under European temperate oceanic conditions

Directional Variability in Response of Pinus koraiensis Radial Growth to Climate Change

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