2021
DOI: 10.1007/s00146-021-01263-4
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AI under great uncertainty: implications and decision strategies for public policy

Abstract: Decisions where there is not enough information for a well-informed decision due to unidentified consequences, options, or undetermined demarcation of the decision problem are called decisions under great uncertainty. This paper argues that public policy decisions on how and if to implement decision-making processes based on machine learning and AI for public use are such decisions. Decisions on public policy on AI are uncertain due to three features specific to the current landscape of AI, namely (i) the vagu… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(8 citation statements)
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References 49 publications
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“…Clumsy solution policies creatively combine all opposing perspectives on what the problem is and how it should be resolved (Ney & Verweij, 2015). Clumsy solutions in turn need adaptive institutional arrangements, which embrace multiple visions and knowledge systems (Nordström, 2021). For example, complex system tools such as agent-based modelling, cellular automata, games, networks and system dynamics can encourage stakeholders to explore various future scenarios, while considering social-ecological interactions, feedback loops (e.g.…”
Section: Promoting Imperfect Yet Intelligent Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Clumsy solution policies creatively combine all opposing perspectives on what the problem is and how it should be resolved (Ney & Verweij, 2015). Clumsy solutions in turn need adaptive institutional arrangements, which embrace multiple visions and knowledge systems (Nordström, 2021). For example, complex system tools such as agent-based modelling, cellular automata, games, networks and system dynamics can encourage stakeholders to explore various future scenarios, while considering social-ecological interactions, feedback loops (e.g.…”
Section: Promoting Imperfect Yet Intelligent Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The concept of policy frames as well as related notions of policy paradigms, discourses and narratives have been productively applied to analyse technology policy (see, e.g., Diercks et al, 2019;Mitzner, 2020;Ulnicane, 2016), governance of emerging technologies (Jasanoff, 2003), and more recently AI policy (see, e.g., Köstler & Ossewaarde, 2022;Nordström, 2021;Ulnicane et al, 2021aUlnicane et al, , 2022. While previous studies of framing AI policy have focussed on governance, uncertainty and national policy, this paper contributes by exploring policy controversies of framing the purpose for AI development and use.…”
Section: Policy Framing Approachmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Any programmer or company can develop and apply AI without any restrictions. [3] One reason is that the arrival of the Internet era has greatly reduced the production threshold based on code, and another reason is the development law of AI itself. As mentioned above, only large-scale data input can produce better machine learning results.…”
Section: Challenge In the Governance Structure Of Public Policymentioning
confidence: 99%