Air Defense Options for Taiwan: An Assessment of Relative Costs and Operational Benefits

Lostumbo, Michael J.; Frelinger, David R.; Williams, James D.; Wilson, Barry W.

doi:10.7249/rr1051

Cited by 7 publications

(10 citation statements)

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“…Furthermore, Taiwan's possession of 207 F-16s-including its purchase in August 2019 of an additional 66 F-16 Vipers-can be leveraged to complement USAF's OCA/DCA missions in a future fight against China (though one has to wonder whether Taiwan's Air Force would even be operable following China's near-certain bombardment of its air fields and air installations at the outset of conflict). 288 Following the deal, President Tsai said that Washington, with this sale, demonstrated its "long-standing commitment to helping maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait." 289 Similarly, Washington's sale to Taipei in October 2020 of stand-off land attack missile/extended range (SLAM-ER) air-to-ground missiles and drones will provide Taiwan with additional equipment to support the U.S. military's SEAD and C2ISR missions.…”

Section: Taiwan's Strategic Concepts and National Interestsmentioning

confidence: 99%

U.S. Major Combat Operations in the Indo-Pacific: Partner and Ally Views

2023

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The study described in this report sought to assess the degree to which partner air component capabilities could be helpful to the United States in future high-end warfare. Those air assets feature capabilities beyond combat aircraft, such as transport and search and rescue aircraft. But we did not conduct a wider assessment of ally and partner decisions on U.S. access or general logistical support. The study assessed their likely geopolitical willingness to support the United States in several major Indo-Pacific scenarios. We found that this willingness is likely to be very strictly constrained for all regional partners with the partial exception of Japan and Australia.This analysis therefore does not support a program of general efforts to build interdependence and partner capability on the theory that it will be available in case of war. If the United States Air Force is interested in how partners and allies are likely to help in the event of major war, the right approach is a very narrowly focused set of efforts-likely prioritizing Australia and Japan-to enhance the ability to operate together. The study's findings highlight the higher value of working with partners to improve their own self-defense. They also point to the value of improving partner capability and ability to operate with the United States more broadly-but only in very narrow air systems (typically not combat aircraft) and with the goal of joint activities only in such scenarios as stability operations or humanitarian assistance and disaster response.

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Section: Taiwan's Strategic Concepts and National Interestsmentioning

confidence: 99%

U.S. Major Combat Operations in the Indo-Pacific: Partner and Ally Views

2023

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“…127-136;and Bonds et al, 2017. 248 See Lostumbo et al, 2016. For these reasons, it might be more cost-effective for Taiwan to focus its air defense investments in many smaller, cheaper, mobile point defenses.…”

Section: South China Seamentioning

confidence: 99%

America's Strategy-Resource Mismatch: Addressing the Gaps Between U.S. National Strategy and Military Capacity

Bonds¹,

Mazarr²,

Dobbins³

et al. 2019

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Limited Print and Electronic Distribution RightsThis document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.

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“…The description includes data for orders of battle, strategy and tactics at the operational level of war, axes of attack, defensive dispositions, tables of equipment, force allocations to missions, operations tempo and sortie rates, readiness factors, munitions, and sustainment (Cerniglia-Mosher, 2009). 10 The background research includes in-house work and sponsored research at FFRDCs (e.g., Lostumbo et al, 2013Lostumbo et al, , 2016. Some of this has also helped to develop the defense planning scenarios.…”

Section: A Distributed Wseg Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense: Rethinking Support for Strategic Analysis

Davis¹

2016

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Air Defense Options for Taiwan: An Assessment of Relative Costs and Operational Benefits

Cited by 7 publications

References 0 publications

U.S. Major Combat Operations in the Indo-Pacific: Partner and Ally Views

U.S. Major Combat Operations in the Indo-Pacific: Partner and Ally Views

America's Strategy-Resource Mismatch: Addressing the Gaps Between U.S. National Strategy and Military Capacity

Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense: Rethinking Support for Strategic Analysis

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