Air Quality Forecasting with Hybrid LSTM and Extended Stationary Wavelet Transform

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) technology-enhanced air quality forecasting is one of the most promising directions in the field of smart environment development. Despite recent advances in this area, two difficulties remain unsolved. First, multiple factors influence forecasting results, such as weather conditions, fuel usage and traffic conditions. These factors are usually unavailable in air quality sensor data. Second, traditional predicting models typically use the most recent training data, which neglects the historical data. In this study, we propose a hybrid deep learning model that embraces the merits of the stationary wavelet transform (SWT) and the nested long short term memory networks (NLSTM) to improve the prediction quality in the problem of hour-ahead air quality forecasting. The proposed method decomposes the original PM2.5 data into several more stationary sub-signals with different resolutions using an extended SWT algorithm. A framework that leverages several NLSTM recurrent neural networks is constructed to output forecasting results for different sub-signals, respectively. The final forecasting result is obtained by combining all sub-signal forecasting results using the inverse wavelet transform. Experiments on real-world data show that, accuracy-wise, our proposed method outperforms most of the existing prediction models in the literature. And the resulting forecasting curves of the proposed method are much closer to the real values without any lags, comparing with existing prediction models.

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“…Using the extended a (NLSTM) neural network, Zeng et al [16] suggested a new forecasting model for PM2.…”