2014
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-014-0873-8
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Alternated estimation in semi-parametric space-time branching-type point processes with application to seismic catalogs

Abstract: An estimation approach for the semi-parametric intensity function of a class of space-time point processes is introduced. In particular we want to account for the estimation of parametric and nonparametric components simultaneously, applying a forward predictive likelihood to semi-parametric models. For each event, the probability of being a background event or an offspring is therefore estimated.

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Cited by 30 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…where k 1 = n/2 . Adelfio and Chiodi (2015a) and Adelfio and Chiodi (2015b) developed the FLP method into a semiparametric method following an alternated estimation procedure similar to Algorithm 1. The procedure splits the model parameters into the nonparametric smoothing parameters Σ and the triggering function parameters Θ, and iteratively fits them in the following steps:…”
Section: Forwardmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…where k 1 = n/2 . Adelfio and Chiodi (2015a) and Adelfio and Chiodi (2015b) developed the FLP method into a semiparametric method following an alternated estimation procedure similar to Algorithm 1. The procedure splits the model parameters into the nonparametric smoothing parameters Σ and the triggering function parameters Θ, and iteratively fits them in the following steps:…”
Section: Forwardmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The etasFLP package is mainly based on those ideas. In Chiodi (2013, 2015a), we classified events according to their probability of being a background or an offspring event, as proposed by Zhuang et al (2002), and then estimated the space-time intensity of the generating point process of the different components by mixing non-parametric and parametric approaches, applying a forward predictive likelihood estimation approach to semi-parametric models (Chiodi and Adelfio 2011;Adelfio and Chiodi 2015a). The probabilities of being a background event are used as weights in non-parametric intensity estimation of the background seismicity.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We fitted the model using the R package etasFLP (Chiodi & Adelfio, ) based on the method developed in Chiodi and Adelfio () and Adelfio and Chiodi (). For each event, the probability of being a background event is estimated in order to provide an estimate of weights for a nonparametric density estimation of the spatial background component.…”
Section: Application To Earthquake Datamentioning
confidence: 99%