An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

Bruijn, K de; Diermanse, Ferdinand; Beckers, Joost

doi:10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014

Cited by 52 publications

(59 citation statements)

References 24 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The scale of application of the EFAS risk assessment is not compatible with risk models for personal safety based on precise hydrodynamic analysis, such as that presented by Arrighi et al (2017), whereas probabilistic risk methods (e.g. de Bruijn et al, 2014) and the use of mortality rates calculated from previous flood events (e.g. Jongman et al, 2015;Tanoue et al, 2016) are more feasible for integration, and these could be tested for the next releases of the risk forecasting procedure.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An operational procedure for rapid flood risk assessment in Europe

Dottori

Kalaš

Salamon

et al. 2017

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. The development of methods for rapid flood mapping and risk assessment is a key step to increase the usefulness of flood early warning systems and is crucial for effective emergency response and flood impact mitigation. Currently, flood early warning systems rarely include realtime components to assess potential impacts generated by forecasted flood events. To overcome this limitation, this study describes the benchmarking of an operational procedure for rapid flood risk assessment based on predictions issued by the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS). Daily streamflow forecasts produced for major European river networks are translated into event-based flood hazard maps using a large map catalogue derived from highresolution hydrodynamic simulations. Flood hazard maps are then combined with exposure and vulnerability information, and the impacts of the forecasted flood events are evaluated in terms of flood-prone areas, economic damage and affected population, infrastructures and cities.An extensive testing of the operational procedure has been carried out by analysing the catastrophic floods of May 2014 in Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia and Serbia. The reliability of the flood mapping methodology is tested against satellite-based and report-based flood extent data, while modelled estimates of economic damage and affected population are compared against ground-based estimations. Finally, we evaluate the skill of risk estimates derived from EFAS flood forecasts with different lead times and combinations of probabilistic forecasts. Results highlight the potential of the real-time operational procedure in helping emergency response and management.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An operational procedure for rapid flood risk assessment in Europe

Dottori

Kalaš

Salamon

et al. 2017

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…A new method for assessing societal flood-fatality risks in river deltas is presented in the contribution of de Bruijn et al (2014). Floodrisk analyses of river deltas are complex because the effects from storm surges and river discharges or a combination of both may cause flooding.…”

Section: Integrated Risk Assessmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management

Bubeck

Aerts

Moel

et al. 2016

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

“…and GIS-based analysis to predict disaster losses (Ermoliev et al, 2000;Wisner et al, 2004;Tate et al, 2010;Scheuer et al, 2011;De Bruijn et al, 2014). Therefore, disaster risk or potential losses can be directly predicted by a vulnerability assessment (Cutter et al, 2003;Hung and Chen, 2013).…”

Section: Vulnerability and Disaster Lossesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Linking local vulnerability assessments to climatic hazard losses for river basin management

Hung

Liu

Chien

2016

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. To prepare for the potential impact of climate change and related hazards, many countries have implemented integrated river basin management programs. This has led to significant challenges for local authorities to improve their understanding of how the vulnerability factors are linked to losses in climatic disaster. This article aims to examine whether highly vulnerable areas experience significantly more damage at the river basin levels due to weather extreme events, and 10 investigates the vulnerability and hazard impact factors determine losses in a disaster. Using three river basins in southern Taiwan that were seriously affected by Typhoon Morakot in 2009 as case studies, a novel methodology is proposed that combines a geographical information system (GIS) and a multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) to evaluate and map composite vulnerability to climatic hazards across river basins. The linkages between the hazard impacts, vulnerability factors and disaster losses are then tested using a disaster damage model (DDM). The results of the vulnerability assessments 15 demonstrate that almost all of the most vulnerable areas are situated in the regions of the middle, and upper reaches and some coastlines of the river basins. The losses and casualties due to typhoon are significantly affected by local vulnerability contexts and hazard impact factors. Finally, policy implications to minimize vulnerability and risk and for integrated river basin governance are suggested.

show abstract

An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

Cited by 52 publications

References 24 publications

An operational procedure for rapid flood risk assessment in Europe

An operational procedure for rapid flood risk assessment in Europe

Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management

Linking local vulnerability assessments to climatic hazard losses for river basin management

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About