An African Growth Miracle?

Rodrik, Dani

doi:10.3386/w20188

Cited by 98 publications

(46 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…6 The exact reasons for this positive structural change still deserve greater study and will certainly vary across countries. However, what has been become clear is that labour-intensive, high-productivity manufacturing plays only a marginal role in Africa's growth miracle (Rodrik, 2014). For instance, McMillan and Harttgen (2014) find that while services account for 8 per cent of the structural change, manufacturing contributes only 2 per cent.…”

Section: Resnickmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Political Economy of Africa's Emergent Middle Class: Retrospect and Prospects

Resnick

2015

J of Intl Development

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This special issue introduction provides a historical perspective in order to contextualize the political economy of Africa's emergent middle class. In doing so, three overarching research questions are discussed to better understand the middle class' transformative potential. First, who constitute Africa's middle class and how has this concept changed over time? Second, what dynamics explain the growth of this group? Third, what are the implications of the middle class for good governance and pro-poor policies? The contributions of each of the articles in the special issue to answering these specific questions for Africa's contemporary middle class are then briefly discussed.

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Section: Resnickmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Political Economy of Africa's Emergent Middle Class: Retrospect and Prospects

Resnick

2015

J of Intl Development

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“…Taking a pragmatic view of development possibilities that harks back to Lewis's work, Rodrik (), citing recent ‘de‐industrialization’ in countries ‘too poor’ to be experiencing such a phenomenon, has suggested that future economic progress on the subcontinent will require a ‘growth model that is different from earlier miracles based on industrialization’ (ibid. : 17) in order to overcome the ‘much stronger head winds’ than those faced by earlier industrializers (ibid.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…To further quote Rodrik (: 10): ‘Most countries of Africa are too poor to be experiencing de‐industrialisation, but that is precisely what seems to be taking place’.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Food Dependency in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Simply a Matter of ‘Vulnerability’, or Missed Development Opportunity?

Arment¹

2019

Development and Change

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This article seeks to refocus some of the attention devoted in the past several decades to the issue of food security in sub‐Saharan Africa to the broader context of food dependency. Using panel data for 44 countries over a period of 51 years (1961–2011), the article tests several hypotheses drawn from Lewis's classical model of development characterized by ‘unlimited supplies of labour’. The model requires either rising agricultural productivity (the closed model) or imports of global market foodstuffs (the open model) to ensure the low food prices and wages required for capital accumulation. Empirical results reject a positive association between food dependency, as represented by five decades of increasing per capita grain imports, and any measurable level of economic modernization with sufficient forward momentum to spur or justify such dependency. Results suggest instead a significant correlation between increasing food dependency and separate panel time periods associated with differing trade and policy regimes. More importantly, empirical results call for a re‐evaluation of Lewis's original development model, focusing on the pivotal role of a supported food subsistence sector in creating economic possibilities for development.

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“…Although sub-Saharan Africa has grown rapidly over the last decade, few African countries have achieved significant structural change in terms of manufacturing (Rodrik, 2018). In recognition of this, industrial policy has recently been gaining in popularity in scholarly and policy circles: African governments, international organizations and academia have all become increasingly vocal about the potential for reviving Africa's manufacturing sectors (Lin, 2011;Noman and Stiglitz, 2015;Stiglitz et al, 2013;UN-ECA, 2016a).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Twenty‐first Century Industrial Policy in a Small Developing Country: The Challenges of Reviving Manufacturing in Rwanda

Behuria¹

2019

Development and Change

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The Rwandan government -widely lauded for its political commitment to development -has refocused its efforts on reviving growth in the manufacturing sector. This article examines how pressures from different levels -international, regional and domestic -have shaped the evolving political economy of two priority sectors (apparel and cement). To achieve its goals of manufacturing sector growth, the Rwandan government aims to access foreign markets (on preferential terms) and larger regional markets while developing effective state-business relationships with locally based firms. Despite the government's political commitment to reviving its manufacturing sector, its strategy has been both shaped and impeded by shifting pressures at the international level (through Rwanda's recent suspension from the African Growth and Opportunity Act), the regional level (through competition from regional firms) and the domestic level (through over-reliance on single firms). Within the current industrial policy literature, there is limited reflection on how developing countries are dealing with the multi-scalar challenges of enacting industrial policy in a much-changed global trading environment.

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An African Growth Miracle?

Cited by 98 publications

References 12 publications

The Political Economy of Africa's Emergent Middle Class: Retrospect and Prospects

The Political Economy of Africa's Emergent Middle Class: Retrospect and Prospects

Food Dependency in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Simply a Matter of ‘Vulnerability’, or Missed Development Opportunity?

Twenty‐first Century Industrial Policy in a Small Developing Country: The Challenges of Reviving Manufacturing in Rwanda

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