2017
DOI: 10.1080/03610918.2015.1124115
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An alternative method for forecasting price volatility by combining models

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Cited by 7 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…The importance of the commodity price forecasting problem for scrap steel of the metal sector in China should be of no exception, particularly when one considers its significant role to the general public [16][17][18][19][20][21][22], great influences from volatile macro-economic and policy factors and financial markets on prices [23][24][25][26][27][28], and close connections with many other economic sectors and industries [29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39]. Existing studies have clearly demonstrated that commodity prices tend to reveal patterns of irregular volatilities [40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48], they have large impacts on various market participants' decision-making processes [49][50][51][52][53][54], and they ultimately will influence allocations of social resources and thus economic welfare in general [55][56][57][58]. The extreme importance of forecasting their prices might not call for too much motivation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The importance of the commodity price forecasting problem for scrap steel of the metal sector in China should be of no exception, particularly when one considers its significant role to the general public [16][17][18][19][20][21][22], great influences from volatile macro-economic and policy factors and financial markets on prices [23][24][25][26][27][28], and close connections with many other economic sectors and industries [29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39]. Existing studies have clearly demonstrated that commodity prices tend to reveal patterns of irregular volatilities [40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48], they have large impacts on various market participants' decision-making processes [49][50][51][52][53][54], and they ultimately will influence allocations of social resources and thus economic welfare in general [55][56][57][58]. The extreme importance of forecasting their prices might not call for too much motivation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…More, they propose to use their application to multi-step ahead forecasts. Gurung et al (2017) combined forecasts using a linear regression approach. However, they estimated the coefficients through the Kalman Filter 1 that ensures the minimization of the forecasts error variances.…”
Section: Linear Time Varying Parameter Combinationsmentioning
confidence: 99%