While neoclassical models assume static cost-minimization by firms, agency models suggest that firms may not minimize costs in less-competitive or regulated environments. We test this using a transition from cost-of-service regulation to market-oriented environments for many U.S. electric generating plants. Our estimates of input demand suggest that publicly-owned plants, whose owners were largely insulated from these reforms, experienced the smallest efficiency gains, while investor-owned plants in states that restructured their wholesale electricity markets improved the most. The results suggest modest medium-term efficiency benefits from replacing regulated monopoly with a market-based industry structure.
Keywords:Competition; Efficiency; Restructuring; Regulation; Deregulation; Electric Utilities. JEL Codes: JEL L51, L11, L94, L22. * Fabrizio: Assistant Professor of Organization & Management, Goizueta Business School, Emory University, 1300 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30322, Kira_Fabrizio@bus.emory.edu; Rose: Professor of Economics, MIT Department of Economics, E52-280b, 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge MA 02142-1347, nrose@mit.edu; Wolfram: Associate Professor of Business Administration, Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720-1900, wolfram@haas.berkeley.edu. Rose gratefully acknowledges support from the MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEPR), the Hoover Institution, the Guggenheim Foundation, and the National Bureau of Economic Research. We thank participants at NBER Productivity and Industrial Organization program meetings, the University of California Energy Institute POWER conference, and the MIT CEEPR conference, as well as seminar participants at Chicago, Harvard, MIT, UC Berkeley, UC Davis and Yale for their suggestions. Our work has benefited greatly from detailed comments by Mitali Das, Al Klevorick, Mark Roberts, Charles Rossman and Johannes Van Biesebroeck, and two anonymous referees. We thank Tom Wilkening for assistance in coding restructuring policies across states and Jen-Jen L`ao for assistance coding plant identities.
1Economists have long maintained that markets generate important efficiency benefits for an economy. These arguments usually focus on allocative efficiency; the implications of competition for technical efficiency are less clear. Neoclassical models of profit-maximization assume static cost-minimizing behavior by all firms, regardless of market competitiveness.1 Agency models, however, in recognizing the interplay of asymmetric information with the separation of management and control, suggest possible deviations from cost-minimization by effort-averse managers. These distortions may be amplified when a firm's prices are set by asymmetrically-informed regulators (e.g., JeanJacques Laffont and Jean Tirole, 1993). Replacing regulated price determination with markets makes firms residual claimants to cost-savings, potentially increasing incentives for efficiency-enhancing effort. 2 Theory suggests several possible roles for markets:c...