An Econometric Model of Intraurban Location*

Steinnes, Donald N.; Fisher, Walter D.

doi:10.1111/j.1467-9787.1974.tb00430.x

Cited by 128 publications

(79 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…Arguments from this literature related to the present findings include the notion that economic forces played a stronger role in the 1980s, a period during which the process of human settlement involved centralization, while natural amenities played a stronger role during the 1990s, a period during which population redistribution was marked by general patterns of decentralization. The second set includes the regional economic literature focused on the causality between population and employment change (CARLINO and MILLS, 1987;STEINNES and FISHER, 1974). This literature argues that people follow jobs during periods of relative economic decline, while jobs follow people during periods of relative economic expansion.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Isolating the Effect of Natural Amenities on Population Change at the Local Level

Chi¹,

Marcouiller²

2010

Regional Studies

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Isolating the effect of natural amenities on population change at the local level, Regional Studies. As latent production inputs, natural amenities are thought to serve as the basis for a variety of regional effects. In this study, natural amenity and socio-economic conditions were analysed with respect to population growth empirically estimated at the municipal level in an amenity-rich lakes region of the North Central United States from 1970 to 2000 with a specific focus on spatial relationships. The limited results suggest mixed effects that confirm an increased amenity influence as one of many factors that drive localized population change.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Isolating the Effect of Natural Amenities on Population Change at the Local Level

Chi¹,

Marcouiller²

2010

Regional Studies

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“…Often this view addresses the notion of whether "people follow jobs" or "jobs follow people" (Steinnes and Fisher 1974). To address this issue of causation and interdependency, Carlino and Mills (1987) constructed a now classic two-equation system.…”

Section: Theoretical Foundationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Amenities and Rural Appalachia Economic Growth

Deller

Lledó

2007

Agric. resour. econ. rev.

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Patterns of economic growth in rural Appalachia are examined with a focus on natural and built amenities. While the literature is clear that rural areas endowed with scenic beauty, lakes, forests, and wildlife, among other natural amenities, and coupled with built amenities such as golf courses, are experiencing robust economic growth. It is not clear if these patterns extend to rural Appalachia. In this applied research study we use data for rural U.S. counties. We estimate an augmented Carlino-Mills growth model with specific attention to growth patterns of Appalachia. We also build on the empirical modeling by adopting a Bayesian Modeling Average (BMA) approach to address the problem of model specification. We find that while there are some commonalities across the whole of the United States, the country is sufficiently heterogeneous that impact of amenities or other policy variables may be significantly different depending on where one is within the country. Our results suggest that while non-metropolitan Appalachia tends to follow national trends, there are sufficient differences that warrant special attention.Key Words: amenities, quality of life, rural economic growth, BayesianThe importance of amenities and overall quality of life in explaining rural growth patterns is becoming widely accepted within the rural growth literature (Power 1988, Power and Barrett 2001, OECD 1994, McGranahan 1999, Isserman 2000, Deller and Tsai 1999, Dissart and Deller 2000, Green 2001, Marcouiller, Deller, and Green 2005, Green, Deller, and Marcouiller 2005. Both descriptive analysis (e.g., McGranahan 1999) and more advanced statistical modeling approaches (e.g., Deller et al. 2001, Marcouiller, Kim, and Deller 2004 have consistently found that rural areas that are endowed with natural and built amenities such as scenic beauty, wildlife, and recreational and tourism attributes experience higher rates of structural change and economic growth than the U.S. average. Unfortunately, much of the current thinking is based on empirical evidence with little if any theoretical foundations (Power 1996(Power , 2005.Using traditional neoclassical growth theory, Marcouiller (1998) and Marcouiller and Clendenning (2005) suggest that natural amenities and quality of life factors act as non-market latent inputs into regional economic growth and development. As our national economy has moved from goods-to service-producing, the impact on rural America has been pronounced. No longer do traditional extractive industries (i.e., agriculture, forestry, mining, etc.) or manufacturing form the backbone of the rural economy. Today, capital is no longer viewed as simply the machinery or public infrastructure used in production, but rather the more relevant form of capital takes a latent non-market attribute. The importance of a forest to a regional economy, for example, is no longer just timber production but rather the natural amenities and recreational attributes of the forest (White and Hanink 2004).

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“…In other words, rather than relying on a strong assumption that population and employment distributions in reality are in equilibrium, it focuses on the dynamic process of population and employment changes that can be influenced by each other as well as by other factors. Because the adjustment model is designed to deal with the interaction between population and employment changes explicitly, it has been widely used to examine whether people follow jobs or jobs follow people (see e.g., Steinnes and Fisher, 1974;Clark and Murphy, 1996;Glavac et al, 1998). In addition, since Carlino and Mills' (1987) pioneering work, the model has been extended and increasingly employed for studies on urban-suburban-rural linkages (see e.g., Henry et al 1997Henry et al , 1999Henry et al , 2001) and other policy issues (see e.g., Bollinger and Ihlanfeldt, 1997;Deller et al, 2001;Mulligan and Vias, 2006), including research on sprawl and land use (Carruthers and Vias, 2005;Carruthers and Mulligan 2007), as the model is both theoretically sound and empirically powerful.…”

Section: Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political fragmentation and land use changes in the Interior Plains

2015

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Recent years have witnessed growing interest in the critical role of local/regional governance structures in shaping physical land development and associated natural resource management processes. This article investigates how political fragmentation in local governance can affect land use patterns through a watershed-level analysis of population and employment density changes in the Interior Plains, the largest physiographic division of the U.S. Population density change rates are found to be negatively associated with a higher degree of political fragmentation, while employment density does not show such a clear relationship with political fragmentation. This finding shows that political fragmentation may present significant challenges to land and water resource management, a result consistent with previous empirical research.

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An Econometric Model of Intraurban Location*

Cited by 128 publications

References 11 publications

Isolating the Effect of Natural Amenities on Population Change at the Local Level

Isolating the Effect of Natural Amenities on Population Change at the Local Level

Amenities and Rural Appalachia Economic Growth

Political fragmentation and land use changes in the Interior Plains

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