An economic explanation of the nationalization of electoral politics

Lago, Ignacio; Peñas, Santiago Lago

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2016.10.011

Cited by 8 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…If anything, the interactions in our models are consistent in their sign, pointing out that the latter mechanism might be stronger. This is the argument developed in recent research by Lago and Lago Peñas (), who claim that the permeability of proportional electoral systems make small regionally based political parties more likely to emerge in periods of low economic growth. However, our results are far from significant, so we cannot conclude any clear differentiated effects of low economic growth under different types of electoral rules.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 83%

Economic crises and the nationalisation of politics

Jurado

León

2017

European J Political Res

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The literature on party system nationalisation has yet to provide a better understanding of the impact of short‐term factors upon the nationalisation of politics. This article helps to fill this literature gap by analysing the effect of economic conditions on party system nationalisation. The argument is that economic crises will decrease levels of nationalisation by amplifying territorial variation in preferences for redistribution, limiting political parties’ capacity to coordinate divergent interests across districts and triggering the emergence of new political forces. Data on 47 countries for the 1960–2011 period confirm this hypothesis and show that lower economic growth during the years prior to the election is associated with a decrease in levels of party system nationalisation in the next election. The result is robust to variation in the specification of the econometric model and to the use of different measures of nationalisation. Results also show that federal institutions increase the impact of economic conditions on the nationalisation of politics, whereas any moderating effect of electoral system proportionality on the economy is not found.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 83%

Economic crises and the nationalisation of politics

Jurado

León

2017

European J Political Res

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“…In the influential work by Caramani (2004), nationalisation refers to the territorial distribution of national parties' electoral offer and success (i.e., the demand side). Hence, nationalisation concerns the national actors' performance throughout the different constituencies of a given polity, which may vary depending on economic, institutional, or party-related factors (Bochsler, Mueller, and Bernauer 2016;Caramani 2004;Jones and Mainwaring 2003;Lago and Lago-Peñas 2016;Lago and Montero 2014).…”

Section: The Determinants Of Nationalisation Of Local Party Systemsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nationalisation of local party systems in Belgium (1976-2018): the combined effects of municipality size and parliamentary parties’ dominance

Dodeigne

Teuber

2020

Local Government Studies

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This article studies the nationalisation of local party systems in Belgian regions across eight electoral cycles (1976-2018). Our research design assesses the relevance of Rokkan's structural approach of nationalisation while testing the effect of conjunctural electoral factors. Our empirical results highlight the positive effect of a municipality's size on local party system nationalisation. Moreover, the analysis uncovers the impact of the electoral dominance of national parties in the local districts at previous national elections: where parliamentary parties have performed weakly at the previous national elections, nationalisation of local party systems increases.Interestingly, the analysis demonstrates that this relationship is stronger in the biggest municipalities, showing an interaction effect between conjunctural and structural factors. Finally, our findings indicate that significant variation remains across Belgian regions. This opens up avenues for future research regarding the potential effects of institutional factors and the 'freezing' of local political offer across subnational party systems.

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“…When the analysis is expanded over time and more elections are included, the problem is that the boundaries of the districts change, especially when using singlemember districts, and the number of parties entering the race is not constant. As support for new parties across districts is more heterogeneous than that of established parties (Jones and Mainwaring, 2003;Lago and Lago-Peñas 2016), the interpretation of electoral swings in the district vote is not straightforward.…”

Section: Aggregate-level Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Decentralization and electoral swings

Lago

Blais

2019

Regional Studies

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We explore how the uniformity of electoral swings in the district vote within countries is affected by the level of economic and political decentralization. We rely on district-level data from OECD countries in two consecutive elections before and after the Great Recession to show that as regional governments exert more influence over the central government, districts deviate less from the overall pattern of change in support of the national incumbent party. The causal mechanism accounting for the effect of decentralization on dynamic nationalization is examined with individual panel data from national elections in Canada and Spain.

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An economic explanation of the nationalization of electoral politics

Cited by 8 publications

References 46 publications

Economic crises and the nationalisation of politics

Economic crises and the nationalisation of politics

Nationalisation of local party systems in Belgium (1976-2018): the combined effects of municipality size and parliamentary parties’ dominance

Decentralization and electoral swings

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