We use data from a large-scale field experiment to explore what influences the effectiveness of online advertising. We find that matching an ad to website content and increasing an ad's obtrusiveness independently increase purchase intent. However, in combination these two strategies are ineffective. Ads that match both website content and are obtrusive do worse at increasing purchase intent than ads that do only one or the other. This failure appears to be related to privacy concerns: The negative effect of combining targeting with obtrusiveness is strongest for people who refuse to give their income, and for categories where privacy matters most. Our results suggest a possible explanation for the growing bifurcation in internet advertising between highly targeted plain text ads and more visually striking but less targeted ads.Keywords: E-commerce, Privacy, Advertising, Targeting * Avi Goldfarb is Associate Professor of Marketing, Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, 105 St George St., Toronto,. Email: agoldfarb@rotman.utoronto.ca. Catherine Tucker is Assistant Professor of Marketing, MIT Sloan School of Business, 1 Amherst St., E40-167, Cambridge, MA. Tel. 617-252-1499. Email: cetucker@mit.edu. We thank Pankaj Aggarwal and seminar participants at UT-Dallas for helpful comments. Financial support from the Google and WPP Marketing Research Awards Program is gratefully acknowledged. 1
IntroductionCustomers actively avoid looking at online banner ads (Dreze and Hussherr 2003).Response rates to banner ads have fallen dramatically over time (Hollis 2005). In reaction to this, online advertising on websites has developed along two strikingly distinct paths.On the one hand, the $11.2 billion 1 online display advertising market has evolved beyond traditional banner ads to include many visual and audio features that make ads more obtrusive and harder to ignore. On the other hand, Google has developed a highly profitable non-search display advertising division (called AdSense) that generates an estimated $6 billion in revenues by displaying plain content-targeted text ads: 76% of US internet users are estimated to have been exposed to AdSense ads. 2 This paper explores how well these divergent strategies work for online advertising, and how consumer perceptions of intrusiveness and privacy influence their success or lack of it, both independently and in combination.We examine the effectiveness of these strategies using data from a large randomized field experiment on 2,892 distinct web advertising campaigns that were placed on different websites.On average, we have data on 852 survey-takers for each campaign. Of these, half were randomly exposed to the ad, and half were not exposed to the ad but did visit the website on which the ad appeared. These campaigns advertised a large variety of distinct products, and were run on many different websites.The advertisers in our data used two core improvements on standard banner ad campaigns to attract their audience.(1) Some web campaigns matched the product...