An Emulation of Randomized Trials of Administrating Antipsychotics in PTSD Patients for Outcomes of Suicide-Related Events

Abstract

Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a prevalent mental disorder marked by psychological and behavioral changes. Currently, there is no consensus of preferred antipsychotics to be used for the treatment of PTSD. We aim to discover whether certain antipsychotics have decreased suicide risk in the PTSD population, as these patients may be at higher risk. A total of 38,807 patients were identified with a diagnosis of PTSD through the ICD9 or ICD10 codes from January 2004 to October 2019. An emulation of randomized clinical trials was conducted to compare the outcomes of suicide-related events (SREs) among PTSD patients who ever used one of eight individual antipsychotics after the diagnosis of PTSD. Exclusion criteria included patients with a history of SREs and a previous history of antipsychotic use within one year before enrollment. Eligible individuals were assigned to a treatment group according to the antipsychotic initiated and followed until stopping current treatment, switching to another same class of drugs, death, or loss to follow up. The primary outcome was to identify the frequency of SREs associated with each antipsychotic. SREs were defined as ideation, attempts, and death by suicide. Pooled logistic regression methods with the Firth option were conducted to compare two drugs for their outcomes using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). The results were adjusted for baseline characteristics and post-baseline, time-varying confounders. A total of 5294 patients were eligible for enrollment with an average follow up of 7.86 months. A total of 157 SREs were recorded throughout this study. Lurasidone showed a statistically significant decrease in SREs when compared head to head to almost all the other antipsychotics: aripiprazole, haloperidol, olanzapine, quetiapine, risperidone, and ziprasidone (p < 0.0001 and false discovery rate-adjusted p value < 0.0004). In addition, olanzapine was associated with higher SREs than quetiapine and risperidone, and ziprasidone was associated with higher SREs than risperidone. The results of this study suggest that certain antipsychotics may put individuals within the PTSD population at an increased risk of SREs, and that careful consideration may need to be taken when prescribed.

Reporting of Observational Studies Explicitly Aiming to Emulate Randomized Trials

“…We retrieved 3133 unique records, of which 200 were included in the review (Figure 1). All reasons for excluding records after full-text review are given in eAppendix 6 in Supplement 1.…”

“… The included studies spanned 26 fields of medicine, predominately infectious disease (43 [22%]; 27 [14%] on COVID-19), cardiology (30 [15%]), and oncology (30 [15%]) . One hundred and thirty-one studies (66%)…”

“…One-hundred and fifteen studies (58%) completely reported how the target trial protocol was emulated. Eighty-seven studies (44%) provided both the protocol of the target trial and described how it was emulated (Table 2).…”

“…Seventy studies (35%) reported in the title that the study aimed to emulate a target trial; 180 (90%) did so in the Methods section. Twenty studies (10%) reported the study was prospectively registered, 16 of these 20 (80%)…”

Quetiapine Treatment for Post-traumatic Stress Disorder: A Systematic Review of the Literature

“…From 1999 to 2018, quetiapine remained the most commonly prescribed anti- psychotic in Veterans Health Administration care [7][8][9]. This primacy is confirmed also by large sample studies on traumatized civilians in which quetiapine prescription rate achieved 25−30% [10,11]. Although off-label quetiapine is widely prescribed in clinical practice and its efficacy in treating PTSD symptoms has been described, to the best of our knowledge no systematic collection of the available findings has yet supported or disconfirmed clinical recommendations [6].…”