“…While our study also elicits posteriors that exhibit similar patterns, our focus is on eliciting the induced prior probability-where we know what a well-incentivized participant should report. 3 Recent applications of the BSR include studies on gender and coordination (Babcock et al, 2017), investment and portfolio choice (Hillenbrand and Schmelzer, 2017;Drerup et al, 2017), coordination (Masiliūnas, 2017), matching markets (Chen and He, 2017;Dargnies et al, 2019;Sonsino, Lahav, and Levkowitz., 2020), biased information processing (Graeber, 2020;Hossain and Okui, 2019;Erkal et al, 2021;Rafkin, Shreekumar, and Vautrey (2021), cheap talk (Meloso et al, 2018), risk taking (Ahrens and Bosch-Rosa, 2019), information source choice (Charness, Oprea, and Yuksel, 2021), memory and uncertainty (Enke, Schwerter, and Zimmermann, 2020;Enke and Graeber, 2021), discrimination (Aksoy, Chadd, and Koh, 2021;Dianat, Echenique, andYariv, 2018, Koutout, 2020), correlated and motivated beliefs (Hossain and Okui, 2020;Oprea and Yuksel, 2020;Cason, Sharma, and Vadovič, 2020), auctions with private information (Corazzini, Galavotti, and Valbonesi, 2019); information and market behavior (Filippin and Mantovani, 2019;Renes and Visser, 2019); institutions and cognitive ability (Choi et al, 2020); overconfidence and bargaining (Colzani and Santos-Pinto, 2020); second-order beliefs (Dustan, Koutout, and Leo (2020); beliefs in strategic games (Aoyagi, Frechette, and Yuksel, 2021;Castillo et al, 2019).…”