An extension of the Tiebout hypothesis of voting with one’s feet: the Medicaid magnet hypothesis

Cebula, Richard J.; Clark, J. R.

doi:10.1080/00036846.2013.795278

Cited by 13 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Research on the Tiebout hypothesis has been a well‐established topic, ever since the publication of its seminal paper (Tiebout, ). Some papers focus on distinct income tax rates (Cebula, ; Carlson and Cebula, ; Lee and Zhee, ; Rhode and Strumpf, ), while others focus on health access (Cebula and Clark, ), demographic changes (Kim and Hewings, ) and minority migration (Cebula and Belton, ). More closely related to the present research is the research of Renas (), which focuses on the cost of living and labour market opportunities.…”

Section: Literature Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…From the table it can be seen that for the USA some authors use poverty (Cebula and Clark, ), some use minority groups such as Mexican and black people (Lee and Zhee, ) and some use public welfare (Conway and Houtenville, ), and all these references are equivalent to poverty. The idea that poverty dictates migration is because local owners cannot migrate since they will lose their assets, but poor people without assets can migrate.…”

Section: Literature Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

“… Hypothesis 6 : (Unemployment rate). The relationship between employment and migration is unclear (Cebula and Clark, ). …”

Section: Theoretical Background and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to this hypothesis, public goods are localized, which signifies that the consumption of public goods and locations are bundled together, and that residents move between distinct locations attracted by the best public goods on offer. This hypothesis has been tested in the USA (Cebula and Clark, ; Cebula, ) and Canada (Rubio, ), but not in Africa. This paper tests the Tiebout hypothesis in Angola at a regional level, using spatial models.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Tiebout Hypothesis in Africa: Evidence from Angola

Barros¹,

Serafim²

2016

African Development Review

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This paper analyses the Tiebout hypothesis in Angola's provinces from 2004 to 2013, using a spatial panel data model. The Tiebout hypothesis, which states that a country's internal migration is dictated by regional public policy, is tested. Angola's internal inter-provincial migration is related to gross domestic product per capita, local public expenditure, unemployment, poverty, population density, the number of public employees in the region, and a NGO for civic education. The results reveal that spatial autocorrelation is a reality in the Angolan context, validating the adoption of a spatial model, and that regional migration is explained by the covariates. The general conclusion is that the Tiebout hypothesis is accepted in the Angolan regions, and that the most important cause of migration is regional poverty. Policy implications are derived and it is concluded that an efficient anti-poverty policy is needed in the Angolan context at regional level in order to decrease internal migration.

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Section: Literature Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

“… Hypothesis 6 : (Unemployment rate). The relationship between employment and migration is unclear (Cebula and Clark, ). …”

Section: Theoretical Background and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Tiebout Hypothesis in Africa: Evidence from Angola

Barros¹,

Serafim²

2016

African Development Review

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“…As recently as 2010, net migration exceeded residential natural increase as a contributor of population change. Migratory flows are functionally dependent upon relative regional economic conditions, both cyclical and structural, and can fluctuate tremendously (Cebula & Alexander, 2006;Cebula & Clark, 2011;Cebula & Clark, 2013;Lim, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Econometric Approach for Modeling Population Change in Doña Ana County, New Mexico

Fullerton¹,

Walke²,

Villavicencio³

2015

JFE

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An econometric model using time series analysis techniques is employed to model and forecast population changes in Doña Ana County, New Mexico. The model focuses on the interplay between economic and demographic variables. Individual, cointegrated equations are generated to account for the components of population change -births, deaths, net domestic and net international migration. Birth and death equations prove easier to model because of stable changes from period to period in relation to income levels and national demographic trends. Net migration equations were more difficult to model as economic conditions, specifically labor market conditions, influence changes over time. Predefined exogenous variables are used to generate out-of-sample simulations for the individual components of population change. Using those results, total population projections are estimated until the year 2018. Doña Ana County is projected to witness a slowdown in population growth, primarily as a consequence of increased domestic out-migration.

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Population growth in growing and declining cities: the role of balanced-budget increases in local government spending

Brasington

2024

Ann Reg Sci

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Tiebout sorting describes people moving to communities that most closely match people's preferences over taxes and public services. This Tiebout equilibrium is disturbed when cities vote to increase taxes and spending. We study the effect of increased taxes and public spending on population growth in growing and declining cities. Using regression discontinuity to compare otherwise similar cities, we find increasing local government taxes and spending by 15% can increase population growth rates. The increase is only evident the year after the vote. For the general sample, the increase is 0.4 percentage points, but it is 0.8 percentage points (25% of a standard deviation) for growing cities with below-median percentages of elderly residents. In cities with declining population, passing large tax levies increases population growth rates by 0.9 percentage points the year after the vote—33% of a standard deviation. Instead of cutting taxes and services, cities with declining population might instead consider providing additional public services to stem population declines. Most migration studies use a fairly large geographical unit like states, counties, and urban areas; our study contributes to the literature by studying migration at the local government level (cities, villages, and townships).

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An extension of the Tiebout hypothesis of voting with one’s feet: the Medicaid magnet hypothesis

Cited by 13 publications

References 28 publications

The Tiebout Hypothesis in Africa: Evidence from Angola

The Tiebout Hypothesis in Africa: Evidence from Angola

An Econometric Approach for Modeling Population Change in Doña Ana County, New Mexico

Population growth in growing and declining cities: the role of balanced-budget increases in local government spending

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