An innovative prognostic risk assessment tool for manufacturing sector based on the management of the human, organizational and technical/technological factors

Djapan, Marko; Mačužić, Ivan; Tadić, Danijela; Baldissone, Gabriele

doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2018.02.032

Cited by 25 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 49 publications

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“…To be more specific, the consequence severity of a risk factor can be measured by the number of people affected, the amount of cargo damaged, the time of transportation delayed, the property of the system loosed, the area of operation affected, and other negative impacts (ABS (American Bureau of Shipping) 2003; Wan et al 2019a). As the guidance of risk assessment, the definition has been widely used in many industries such as environmental system (Bereskie et al 2017), metropolitan construction projects (Kuo and Lu 2013), manufacturing sector (Djapan et al 2019), oil and gas offshore (Lavasani et al 2011;Baladeh, Cheraghi, and Khakzad 2019), municipal infrastructure (Shahata and Zayed 2016). Since the P and S will be defined by using fuzzy sets, R will also be presented by fuzzy numbers according to the Eq.…”

Section: Step 2 Application Of Fst With a Belief Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Safety evaluation of the ports along the Maritime Silk Road

Jiang

et al. 2021

Maritime Policy & Management

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21st Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR) is of significant importance for world freight transport. The ports along the MSR present a key element of the involved shipping networks to support the connectivity of the MSR. Therefore, it is crucial to carry an effective safety assessment of the ports to ensure the robustness and sustainability of the growing MSR. However, traditional quantitative risk analysis approaches (QRA) used in ports face many challenges when being applied within the context of the MSR, such as risk data incompleteness and ambiguity, and operational and environmental uncertainties. This paper proposes a novel safety evaluation approach to address these issues encountered during the risk analysis process in the MSR ports. The fuzzy set theory (FST), an evidential reasoning (ER) approach, and the expected utility theory are integrated in a holistic way in the proposed methodology. The proposed methodology is used to analyse five key ports along the MSR. The results provide decision-makers with useful insights on enhancing port safety, effective route planning as well as improving operational efficiency.

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Section: Step 2 Application Of Fst With a Belief Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Safety evaluation of the ports along the Maritime Silk Road

Jiang

et al. 2021

Maritime Policy & Management

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“…Risk assessment step includes the identification of the critical risks along with the assessment of the identified risks in terms of their calculated magnitudes (Djapan et al, 2018;Hatami-Marbini et al, 2013;Zhao et al, 2016). Based on the concept of common risk matrix, the likelihood and intensity of each risk needs to be calculated, and subsequently they need to be multiplied by each other to give us the final magnitude .…”

Section: Background To Risk Assessment Stepmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Construction Labours’ Safety Level: A Fuzzy McDm Approach

Mohandes

Sadeghi

Mahdiyar

et al. 2020

Journal of Civil Engineering and Management

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Risk decision matrix has widely been favoured by the researchers in the area of construction safety risk assessment. Although it provides the construction safety professionals with the final illustration of the risks magnitude, it suffers from major shortcomings, including inability to considering the importance of probability and severity, impaired analysis resulting from the use of raw numbers for ratings, and the limited range of classifications for assessing the risks. All these shortages give an impaired insight to the concerned parties, deteriorating the involved workers' safety. As such, this paper aims to develop a novel Risk Assessment Model (RAM) through the integration of the Fuzzy Best Worst Method (FBWM) with the Interval-Valued Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (IVFTOPSIS). Based on the application of RAM to a real-life case study, it was observed that the developed RAM contributes to the body of construction safety risk assessment in five unique ways: (1) computing the importance of the two risk parameters (i.e. probability and severity) using fuzzy-reference-based comparisons, (2) obviating the needs for having statistical data, (3) prioritizing the identified risks using the combination of interval-valued triangular fuzzy numbers with TOPSIS, (4) providing the safety analysts with wider ranges of classifications for conducting risk assessment, and (5) providing the safety professionals with appropriate evaluation strategies for controlling the analysed risks. The developed model in the study can be applied to any projects, giving a conclusive plan to the concerned safety professionals for adopting the further prudent mitigation measurements.

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“…The first stage has already been addressed in one of the author's previous publications [5]. The approach presented and application of the results were different, but a similar method was applied.…”

Section: Hazards' Identificationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Xuecai & Deyong introduced a new method to assess and manage human factors [27]. A new procedure called Human Factor Risk Management (HFRM) was developed in [2] by Bevilacqua & Ciarapica or an innovative prognostic risk assessment tool for the manufacturing sector based on the management of the human, organizational and technical/technological factors in [5] by Djapan et al Risk assessment is also used to detect the hazards associated with dangerous workplaces in aviation, reported in [1] or [18].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk Management in (Air) Transport With Exemplary Risk Analysis Based on the Tolerability Matrix

Dudek¹,

Krzykowska-Piotrowska²,

Siergiejczyk³

2020

Transport Problems

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This article is a continuation of the authors' study on the ways to ensure safety in the Air Traffic Management (ATM) system. It directly refers to the processes of risk management involving, in particular, risk management in (air) transport. The main aim of this paper is to present and indicate the hazard identification and risk assessment tools that can be used in air transport and to apply one of them for a risk analysis of a specific ATM originating case. This is why, after a short introduction, describing the background of the research as well as literature review, the risk management process as such is characterized. It is shown in a schematic way and its main components are identified. At the same time, from the entire management process, the risk assessment procedure is highlighted as its most crucial part. Then, general hazards identification techniques, risk analysis and assessment tools are described, with an indication that they can also be implemented in air transport, if compatible with ICAO Standards and Recommended Practices (SARPs). In the following part, the process of risk assessment in air transport, based on the Safety Management Manual, using a safety risk tolerability matrix, is characterized. Finally, in this article, an exemplary risk analysis is carried out, focusing on a selected case arising from the ATM field. For the analysed case, safety risk hazards and their possible effects are identified and then assigned to the Intolerable, Tolerable and Acceptable regions. The entire paper is summarized and conclusions are drawn in relation to the publication's main goal. Attention is also paid to the potential causes of appearance of hazards including, first of all, lack of adequate verification procedures, as well as people's competence and last but not the least human errors, being the reason for 70-80% of unwanted transport accidents.

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An innovative prognostic risk assessment tool for manufacturing sector based on the management of the human, organizational and technical/technological factors

Cited by 25 publications

References 49 publications

Safety evaluation of the ports along the Maritime Silk Road

Safety evaluation of the ports along the Maritime Silk Road

Assessing Construction Labours’ Safety Level: A Fuzzy McDm Approach

Risk Management in (Air) Transport With Exemplary Risk Analysis Based on the Tolerability Matrix

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