An integrated framework for urban resilience to climate change – Case study: Sea level rise impacts on the Nile Delta coastal urban areas

Abdrabo, Mohamed; Hassaan, Mahmoud A.

doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2015.09.005

Cited by 55 publications

(38 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…The following practices can introduce additional errors in the inundation simulation outputs: (1) failure to account for land deformation contributions such as those caused by glacial unloading, uplift, and subsidence (e.g., El-Nahry & Doluschitz, 2009;Rowley et al, 2007;van de Sande et al, 2012); (2) assigning a uniform deformation rate that was derived locally across a much larger region, a practice that ignores the spatial heterogeneities in sediment composition and texture within the investigated areas and the local variations introduced by anthropogenic factors (e.g., Frihy, 2003;Hasan et al, 2015;Neumann et al, 2015); and (3) reliance on average Holocene subsidence rates that do not represent current subsidence rates (Abdrabo & Hassaan, 2015;Hasan et al, 2015;Hereher, 2010).…”

Section: Sea Encroachment On Coastal Areas In Deltas: Approaches Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Land Deformation and Sea Encroachment in the Nile Delta: A Radar Interferometric and Inundation Modeling Approach

et al. 2018

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Persistent scatterer interferometric analyses were conducted on a stack of 84 Environmental Satellite's Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar scenes spanning 7 years (2004 to 2010) over the entire Nile Delta of Egypt and surroundings (area: 40,416 km2) to monitor the ongoing spatial and temporal land deformation, identify the factors controlling the deformation, and model the interplay between sea level rise and land subsidence to identify areas and populations threatened by sea encroachment by the end of the 21st century. Findings include the following: (1) general patterns of subsidence (average rate: −2.4 mm/year) in the northern delta, near‐steady to slight subsidence in the southern delta (average rate: 0.4 mm/year), separated by a previously mapped flexure zone (minimum width: 20–40 km) undergoing uplift (average rate: 2.5 mm/year); (2) high subsidence rates (up to −8.9 mm/year) over the north central and northeastern delta (area: ~4,815 km2), possibly due to compaction of recent (<3,500 years old), thick (>5 m) silt and clay‐rich Holocene sediments; (3) high subsidence rates (up to −9.7 mm/year) in areas where the highest groundwater extraction rates were reported in southern delta (Menoufia governorate) and in reclaimed desert land in the western delta (Beheira governorate); (4) high subsidence rates (up to −9.7 mm/year) over onshore gas fields, notably the Abu Madi gas field, where high gas extraction rates have been recorded; and (5) using extracted deformation rates, high‐resolution TanDEM‐X digital elevation model, a eustatic sea level rise of 0.44 m, and applying a bathtub inundation model, an estimated 2,660 km2 in northern delta will be inundated by year 2100.

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Section: Sea Encroachment On Coastal Areas In Deltas: Approaches Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Land Deformation and Sea Encroachment in the Nile Delta: A Radar Interferometric and Inundation Modeling Approach

et al. 2018

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“…Resilience refers to the capacity of a system or its components, in time and space, to maintain or quickly return to the desired functions when faced with a threat, to adapt to changes or to undergo rapid transformations [13,16], and/or to maintain the level of services offered through adequate conditions for persistence, allowing the system and its mode of organization to be prepared for a new situation [20].…”

Section: Resilience and Vulnerability Conceptsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience and Vulnerability of Public Transportation Fare Systems: The Case of the City of Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

et al. 2020

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Resilience is the ability of a system to adapt, persist, and transform as a reaction to threats, which may be external or internal to the system, while vulnerability is the state of being susceptible to harm from exposure to stresses associated with environmental and social change and from the inability to adapt. Based on a study of the threats that can affect urban mobility, we identified a gap regarding the analysis of the levels of resilience and vulnerability in the face of subsidy threats that can severely affect developing countries. This article measures the level of resilience and vulnerability due to the absence of public transport fare subsidies. For this purpose, we developed an approach based on fuzzy logic and applied it in 33 administrative regions (ARs) of the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. We obtained four matrices of the levels of vulnerability and resilience of each of the regions as an origin and destination. The results show that areas nearest to the downtown region and those with high-capacity transportation available (commuter train and/or subway, systems with many transfer points) are more resilient, while a high level of vulnerability is associated with low income, negative socioeconomic indicators, and the predominance of road transportation to reach jobs. The contribution of this paper is the method applied to analyse the levels of vulnerability and resilience of public transport, which includes a threat that can cause a rupture that impacts routines and job accessibility in a region.

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“…Because of the complex nature of resilience as a concept, defining and developing a more applicable and context specific index for measuring urban resilience to climate related shocks and stresses is still an ongoing task [9]. Thus, numerous indices have been developed to measure urban resilience to climate related shocks and stresses, these include but not limited to: the Climate Disaster Resilience Index (CDRI) [10], The Integrated Resilience Index (IRI) [11], The Socio-ecological Index (SI) [12] and the Urban Resilience Index (URI) [13]. Despite this progress, most indices focus on assessing the resilience of mega cities and metropolitan areas in developed countries [14] [15] [16] [17].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this study, climate change shocks refer to sudden and rapid disturbances caused by extreme weather conditions [11] while, climate change stresses refer to slow processes whose cumulative effects are felt after a long time [10]. Furthermore, the study uses the term subjective methods of resilience to mean those methods that obtain primary data using people's cognitive and self-evaluation of factors that could be influence to their resilience [22].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this conceptualisation, resilience was taken to mean maintenance of pre-disaster status. In the fields of disaster risk reduction and climate change resilience studies, resilience is generally defined as the ability of a society or community to anticipate, respond to and recover from shocks and stresses, innovate and change its functioning [1] [11] [26]. In this conceptualisation, resilience is generally taken to mean a process of "bouncing forward".…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Testing the Proposed Municipality Resilience Index to Climate Change Shocks and Stresses in Mbale Municipality in Eastern Uganda

Oriangi¹,

Bamutaze²,

Mukwaya³

et al. 2019

AJCC

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An integrated framework for urban resilience to climate change – Case study: Sea level rise impacts on the Nile Delta coastal urban areas

Cited by 55 publications

References 15 publications

Assessing Land Deformation and Sea Encroachment in the Nile Delta: A Radar Interferometric and Inundation Modeling Approach

Assessing Land Deformation and Sea Encroachment in the Nile Delta: A Radar Interferometric and Inundation Modeling Approach

Resilience and Vulnerability of Public Transportation Fare Systems: The Case of the City of Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

Testing the Proposed Municipality Resilience Index to Climate Change Shocks and Stresses in Mbale Municipality in Eastern Uganda

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