The developments described in the previous chapters are required because our present vision of safety is not adequate for the challenges we face. Our arguments for these developments rest on analyses of the nature of safety in healthcare as it is delivered today. However, as is well known, healthcare is changing rapidly and there are many new opportunities, pressures and challenges. We believe that these coming changes will have further implications for how safety is understood and practiced which will increase the urgency and importance of the transition to a broader vision.In this chapter we briefl y summarise some of the recent and forthcoming developments in healthcare. These have been widely discussed and we are only concerned to summarise some key points. The primary purpose of the chapter is to consider the implications for patient safety and for the strategies and practices we set out in the remainder of the book.
The Changing Nature of HealthcareThe problems faced by healthcare, and many of the challenges for patient safety, arise in part from the very success of modern medicine in combating disease. Because of improvements in diet, nutrition, medicine and environment many people are living longer but also living with one or more chronic conditions such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer. Diseases which were once fatal are now becoming chronic conditions.The survival rate for cancers, infections and AIDS, strokes, cardiovascular disease and many other previously fatal diseases have improved signifi cantly even in the last decade. For instance a recent French study of 427,000 new adult cancer cases diagnosed between 1989 and 2004, showed signifi cant improvements in 5 year survival for most cancers, especially prostate cancer (Grosclaude et al. 2013 ).In the French population of 65 million people over 320,000 new cancers are diagnosed every year; of these 150,000 are designated as 'cured' within the same 130 year and a further 150,000 can expect to survive at least 5 years. Similar improvements in survival and quality of life in AIDS patients have been seen in developed countries with the introduction of HAART therapies (Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy) (Borrell et al. 2006 ). Most people treated for chronic conditions are going back to work, family and home, with the personal ambition of leading as healthy life as possible. These developments present huge challenges for healthcare systems in providing care and yet remaining affordable.The traditional hospital cannot remain the main provider of care and core of the medical system simply because it would be unaffordable. Hospitals are still of course essential in any future vision of healthcare but will increasingly focus on investigations and procedures that require a very high level of expertise and sophisticated technology. The proportion of beds devoted to high dependency and intensive care will increase while the overall number of beds will reduce (Ackroyd-Stolarz et al. 2011 ).Medical innovations have lead progressively to shorter h...