1993
DOI: 10.2307/1427496
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An unusual stochastic order relation with some applications in sampling and epidemic theory

Abstract: One expects, intuitively, that the total damage caused by an epidemic increases, in a certain sense, with the infection intensity exerted by the infectives during their lifelength. The original object of the present work is to make precise in which probabilistic terms such a statement does indeed hold true, when the spread of the disease is described by a collective Reed–Frost model and the global cost is represented by the final size and severity. Surprisingly, this problem leads us to introduce an order rela… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…For an arbitrary s, the s-convex order compares the s-th right-tail distribution functions of random variables that have the same first s − 1 moments. In the case of discrete distributions, this class of orders was studied in Lefèvre and Picard (1993), Fishburn and Lavalle (1995), Lefèvre and Utev (1996), Denuit and Lefèvre (1997) and Denuit el al. (1999aDenuit el al.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For an arbitrary s, the s-convex order compares the s-th right-tail distribution functions of random variables that have the same first s − 1 moments. In the case of discrete distributions, this class of orders was studied in Lefèvre and Picard (1993), Fishburn and Lavalle (1995), Lefèvre and Utev (1996), Denuit and Lefèvre (1997) and Denuit el al. (1999aDenuit el al.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Lefèvre and Picard [6] and Daley [4] gave an analogous result to Theorem 5 for SIR epidemics of this type. Consider two independent within-household SIR epidemics that differ only in their infectious period distributions.…”
Section: Sir Within-household Epidemicsmentioning
confidence: 77%
“…Thus, to obtain the result it suffices to apply a comparison result given in Property 4.2 of Lefèvre and Picard (1993).…”
Section: )mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A few other properties used in the paper (but not recalled here) were derived in Lefèvre and Picard (1993) and Picard and Lefèvre (2003).…”
Section: A1 Abel-gontcharoff Polynomialsmentioning
confidence: 99%