2024
DOI: 10.3390/w16030474
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Analysing Urban Flooding Risk with CMIP5 and CMIP6 Climate Projections

Rafiu Oyelakin,
Wenyu Yang,
Peter Krebs

Abstract: Fitting probability distribution functions to observed data is the standard way to compute future design floods, but may not accurately reflect the projected future pattern of extreme events related to climate change. In applying the latest coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP5 and CMIP6), this research investigates how likely it is that precipitation changes in CMIP5 and CMIP6 will affect both the magnitude and frequency of flood analysis. GCM output from four modelling institutes in CMIP5, with repres… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
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“…Floods stand as one of the most prevalent natural disasters globally. With an escalation in both the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall, coupled with a recurring pattern, catastrophic flood events are being witnessed across various regions worldwide, significantly impacting human productivity and livelihoods [2,3]. Generally speaking, river and coastal system flooding represents the most prevalent and devastating climate-related disaster, inflicting billions of dollars in damages annually.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Floods stand as one of the most prevalent natural disasters globally. With an escalation in both the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall, coupled with a recurring pattern, catastrophic flood events are being witnessed across various regions worldwide, significantly impacting human productivity and livelihoods [2,3]. Generally speaking, river and coastal system flooding represents the most prevalent and devastating climate-related disaster, inflicting billions of dollars in damages annually.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%