Analysis of 100% renewable energy for Iran in 2030: integrating solar PV, wind energy and storage

Aghahosseini, Arman; Bogdanov, Dmitrii; Ghorbani, Narges; Breyer, Christian

doi:10.1007/s13762-017-1373-4

Cited by 86 publications

(47 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…In this study, an hourly resolved model, called the LUT energy system model, based on Matlab software (R2016b) [32] and the Mosek ApS optimizer [33] is used. This model has been introduced and applied to several regions so far [14,[34][35][36][37][38][39], and a detailed description of the model can be found in those studies. The model is based on a multi-node approach that is composed of power generation and storage technologies, the current installed capacities of RE conversion technologies and different operation modes of these technologies.…”

Section: Materials and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

2017

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Abstract:In this study power generation and demand are matched through a least-cost mix of renewable energy (RE) resources and storage technologies for North America by 2030. The study is performed using an hourly resolved model based on a linear optimization algorithm. The geographical, technical and economic potentials of different forms of RE resources enable the option of building a super grid between different North American regions. North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico in this paper), is divided into 20 sub-regions based on their population, demand, area and electricity grid structure. Four scenarios have been evaluated: region-wide, country-wide, area-wide and an integrated scenario. The levelised cost of electricity is found to be quite attractive in such a system, with the range from 63 €/MWh el in a decentralized case and 42 €/MWh el in a more centralized and integrated scenario. Electrical grid interconnections significantly reduce the storage requirement and overall cost of the energy system. Among all RE resources, wind and solar PV are found to be the least-cost options and hence the main contributors to fossil fuel substitution. The results clearly show that a 100% RE-based system is feasible and a real policy option at a modest cost. However, such a tremendous transition will not be possible in a short time if policy-makers, energy investors and other relevant organizations do not support the proposed system.

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Section: Materials and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

2017

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“…Aghahosseini et al [40] describe the various components of the LUT Energy System model and how the model determines the optimal 100% renewable energy mix for Iran for the year 2030.…”

Section: Model Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For Saudi Arabia, the model described by Aghahosseini et al [40] was modified with the addition of thermal desalination technologies as another desalination technologies and a subsequent energy transition, i.e., the system setup found for one period had been adjusted by the capacities being beyond their technical lifetime as a starting value for incremental optimization for the new period. Figure 2 illustrates the modified energy model.…”

Section: Model Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The wind speed data from the German Aerospace Center is converted to the relevant wind speed at 150 m using the logarithmic wind shear law [29]. The approach discussed by Aghahosseini et al [40] is used to identify the biomass and geothermal potential available in KSA. Table 3 presents the biomass and geothermal potential results for KSA and it is assumed that these are the amounts available for every time period from 2015 to 2050.…”

Section: Power Plant Capacities-technical and Financial Assumptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For the design and analysis of the energy transition, the energy model, used and further developed at LUT, is used [29,[39][40][41]. The LUT Energy System Transition model is based on the linear optimization method with interior point optimization, and is designed in an hourly temporal and 0.45 • × 0.45 • spatial resolution.…”

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Role of Seawater Desalination in the Management of an Integrated Water and 100% Renewable Energy Based Power Sector in Saudi Arabia

Caldera

Bogdanov

Afanasyeva

et al. 2017

Water

121

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This work presents a pathway for Saudi Arabia to transition from the 2015 power structure to a 100% renewable energy-based system by 2050 and investigates the benefits of integrating the power sector with the growing desalination sector. Saudi Arabia can achieve 100% renewable energy power system by 2040 while meeting increasing water demand through seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) and multiple effect distillation (MED) desalination plants. The dominating renewable energy sources are PV single-axis tracking and wind power plants with 243 GW and 83 GW, respectively. The levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) of the 2040 system is 49 €/MWh and decreases to 41 €/MWh by 2050. Corresponding levelised cost of water (LCOW) is found to be 0.8 €/m 3 and 0.6 €/m 3 . PV single-axis tracking dominates the power sector. By 2050 solar PV accounts for 79% of total electricity generation. Battery storage accounts for 41% of total electricity demand. In the integrated scenario, due to flexibility provided by SWRO plants, there is a reduced demand for battery storage and power-to-gas (PtG) plants as well as a reduction in curtailment. Thus, the annual levelised costs of the integrated scenario is found to be 1-3% less than the non-integrated scenario.

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Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

Breyer

Bogdanov

Aghahosseini

et al. 2017

Progress in Photovoltaics

166

181

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The power sector is faced with strict requirements in reducing harmful emissions and substantially increasing the level of sustainability. Renewable energy (RE) in general and solar photovoltaic (PV) in particular can offer societally beneficial solutions. The LUT energy system transition model is used to simulate a cost-optimised transition pathway towards 100% RE in the power sector by 2050. The model is based on hourly resolution for an entire year, the world structured in 145 regions, high spatial resolution of the input RE resource data, and transition steps of 5-year periods. The global average solar PV electricity generation contribution is found to be about 69% in 2050, the highest ever reported. Detailed energy transition results are presented for representative countries in the world, namely, Poland, Britain and Ireland, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Ethiopia, and Indonesia. The global average energy system levelised cost of electricity gradually declines from 70 €/MWh in 2015 to 52 €/MWh in 2050 throughout the transition period, while deep decarbonisation of more than 95% around 2040, referenced to 2015, would be possible.The targets of the Paris Agreement can be well achieved in the power sector, while increasing societal welfare, given strong policy leadership.

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Analysis of 100% renewable energy for Iran in 2030: integrating solar PV, wind energy and storage

Cited by 86 publications

References 39 publications

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

Role of Seawater Desalination in the Management of an Integrated Water and 100% Renewable Energy Based Power Sector in Saudi Arabia

Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

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