Analysis of Critical Infrastructure Network Failure in the European Union: A Combined Systems Engineering and Economic Model

Jonkeren, Olaf; Azzini, Ivano; Galbusera, Luca; Ntalampiras, Stavros; Giannopoulos, Georgios

doi:10.1007/s11067-014-9259-1

Cited by 27 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…In order to understand both random failures and terrorist attacks on lifelines, critical factors began to be ranked (Buldyrev, Parshani, Paul, Stanley, & Havlin, ; Zio & Sansavini, ). Attempts were made to assess cascading disruptions on a cross‐national basis (Galbusera, Azzini, Jonkeren, & Giannopoulos, ; Jonkeren, Azzini, Galbusera, Ntalampiras, & Giannopoulos, ). In order to assess the possible impact of cascading risk on emergency management and to translate it into generic tools that could raise awareness and information sharing in particular on electricity disruptions, the risk managers looked for practical and replicable approaches (Hogan, ).…”

Section: Cascading Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding Compound, Interconnected, Interacting, and Cascading Risks: A Holistic Framework

2018

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In recent years, there has been a gradual increase in research literature on the challenges of interconnected, compound, interacting, and cascading risks. These concepts are becoming ever more central to the resilience debate. They aggregate elements of climate change adaptation, critical infrastructure protection, and societal resilience in the face of complex, high-impact events. However, despite the potential of these concepts to link together diverse disciplines, scholars and practitioners need to avoid treating them in a superficial or ambiguous manner. Overlapping uses and definitions could generate confusion and lead to the duplication of research effort. This article gives an overview of the state of the art regarding compound, interconnected, interacting, and cascading risks. It is intended to help build a coherent basis for the implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR). The main objective is to propose a holistic framework that highlights the complementarities of the four kinds of complex risk in a manner that is designed to support the work of researchers and policymakers. This article suggests how compound, interconnected, interacting, and cascading risks could be used, with little or no redundancy, as inputs to new analyses and decisional tools designed to support the implementation of the SFDRR. The findings can be used to improve policy recommendations and support tools for emergency and crisis management, such as scenario building and impact trees, thus contributing to the achievement of a system-wide approach to resilience.

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Section: Cascading Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding Compound, Interconnected, Interacting, and Cascading Risks: A Holistic Framework

2018

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“…Jonkeren et al [40] (2015) define economic losses as stock damage or flow losses (i.e., business interruption losses). In this context, flow refers to the services or outputs of stocks over time, while stocks refer to a quantity at a single point in time.…”

Section: Defining Cascading Effects From Floodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Direct effects are defined as effects sustained by the sector that is hit by a particular hazard. Conversely, indirect effects will make an impact on sectors that are located in the close vicinity of the initially hit sector (indirect stock damage) or that are dependent on the initially hit sector through supply and demand relationships (indirect flow effects) [40].…”

Section: Defining Cascading Effects From Floodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Methodological Framework for Analysing Cascading Effects from Flood Events: The Case of Sukhumvit Area, Bangkok, Thailand

Hilly

Vojinović

Weesakul

et al. 2018

Water

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Impacts from floods in urban areas can be diverse and wide ranging. These can include the loss of human life, infrastructure and property damages, as well as other kinds of nuisance and inconvenience to urban life. Hence, the ability to identify and quantify wider ranging effects from floods is of the utmost importance to urban flood managers and infrastructure operators. The present work provides a contribution in this direction and describes a methodological framework for analysing cascading effects from floods that has been applied for the Sukhumvit area in Bangkok (Thailand). It demonstrates that the effects from floods can be much broader in their reach and magnitude than the sole impacts incurred from direct and immediate losses. In Sukhumvit, these include loss of critical services, assets and goods, traffic congestion and delays in transportation, loss of business and income, disturbances and discomfort to the residents, and all these can be traced with the careful analysis of cascading effects. The present work explored the use of different visualization options to present the findings. These include a casual loop diagram, a HAZUR resilience map, a tree diagram and GIS maps.

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“…While the IIM estimates the fraction of each infrastructure sector that will remain inoperable under failure, key-linkages analysis is able to determine the relative importance of infrastructure in the supply-chain. In another related approach Jonkeren et al (2014) develop a coupled engineering-economic model for Italy looking at infrastructure interdependencies.…”

Section: Key-linkages Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring Vulnerability and Interdependency of UK Infrastructure Using Key-Linkages Analysis

2015

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It has been argued the UK has experienced significant underinvestment in critical infrastructure over the last two decades. This in turn has resulted in infrastructure that is less capable of assisting the UK economy to grow. This article seeks to undertake an in-depth analysis of the inter-linkages and economic contributions from infrastructure within the UK. It explores the relationship between nine infrastructure sectors and how these sectors contribute to the rest of the UK economy using keylinkage analysis. Each infrastructure sector is shown to be unique in the way it interacts with other economic sectors and in the form of contribution it makes to the economy overall. Infrastructure is found to be a necessary and important part of economic development. The analysis finds that over the last 23 years there has been a decline in the relative economic contribution from infrastructure to UK GVA. Only two infrastructure sectors increased their relative contribution to GVA since 1992. These were the water transport sector and sewerage and sanitary services sector. Railway transport and gas distribution have had the largest relative decline in contribution towards UK GVA with relative contributions decreasing by over 50 % since 1992. The three most important infrastructure sectors contributing to UK GDP are land transport, electricity production and distribution and telecommunications respectively.

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Analysis of Critical Infrastructure Network Failure in the European Union: A Combined Systems Engineering and Economic Model

Cited by 27 publications

References 28 publications

Understanding Compound, Interconnected, Interacting, and Cascading Risks: A Holistic Framework

Understanding Compound, Interconnected, Interacting, and Cascading Risks: A Holistic Framework

Methodological Framework for Analysing Cascading Effects from Flood Events: The Case of Sukhumvit Area, Bangkok, Thailand

Exploring Vulnerability and Interdependency of UK Infrastructure Using Key-Linkages Analysis

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