2021
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7253
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Analysis of historical heatwaves in the United Kingdom using gridded temperature data

Abstract: Areas of land in the United Kingdom (UK) affected by heatwaves between 1960 and 2019 have been analysed using a daily gridded temperature dataset. An new metric, the ‘heatwave cumulative area’, defined as the sum of the largest single area on all days within a given heatwave, was found to be useful for distinguishing extreme heatwaves (those which lasted for many days and affected large parts of the UK) from lesser heatwaves. At the time of writing, the heatwaves of July 1975, August 1990 and July 2019 had the… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…Two similar spikes in incidents were observed also for April and October, which could potentially be due to an increased activity of children playing near open windows coinciding with the first and last warm days of the year respectively [ 30 ]. This is a particularly concerning observation especially considering that temperatures in the UK are expected to rise at a rapid rate because of global warming, and people would be experiencing prolonged heatwaves as was the case in the summer of 2022 [ 31 ]. Our findings highlight a seasonal prevalence of falls in the summer, and the potential for further rise in incidence of such falls in the future in the UK [ 24 , 25 , 32 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Two similar spikes in incidents were observed also for April and October, which could potentially be due to an increased activity of children playing near open windows coinciding with the first and last warm days of the year respectively [ 30 ]. This is a particularly concerning observation especially considering that temperatures in the UK are expected to rise at a rapid rate because of global warming, and people would be experiencing prolonged heatwaves as was the case in the summer of 2022 [ 31 ]. Our findings highlight a seasonal prevalence of falls in the summer, and the potential for further rise in incidence of such falls in the future in the UK [ 24 , 25 , 32 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Wilby, Prudhomme, et al (2015) noted the longest period of below-average river discharges in the UK spanned 5.5 years between 1988 and 1993, although extreme low-flow conditions within droughts often last weeks to months and typically occur during summer months (White et al, 2022). Heatwaves within droughts typically span even shorter timeframes, with a maximum duration of 15-days being reported in the UK during 1976 and 2018 (Beckett & Sanderson, 2022). The occurrence of hot and dry summers has increased drought intensities over recent decades (Barker et al, 2019) and the 'United Kingdom Climate Projections' (UKCP18; Lowe et al, 2019) indicate these trends will continue with average summer air temperature increases of 0.9-5.4 C by 2070 (high emission scenario).…”
Section: River Water Temperature Dynamics During Uk Droughtsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The number of extreme daily rainfall events above specific totals has increased since the 1960s, there have been fewer days with temperatures below freezing [44], and the chance of experiencing high temperatures has increased [45][46][47]. However, there is very strong year-to-year variability, particularly for river floods [48] and windstorms [44] but also for heatwaves [49,50], related to variability in the atmospheric circulation patterns that typically generate extreme weather in the UK.…”
Section: Implications Of Climate Change For Emergency Eventsmentioning
confidence: 99%