Accurate estimation of covariance matrix is the basis of effective development of high-dimensional optimal portfolio. Random matrix theory provides an effective means to improve the estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrix. Based on the empirical research on the export excess return rate of traditional cultural industry, the result is a combination with higher precision and lower risk. Based on relevant data, this paper constructs a stochastic matrix theoretical model to analyze the impact of human capital, new fixed asset investment, independent innovation and technology purchase, financing sources, and other factors on high-tech industry export. Based on the results of empirical analysis, some policy suggestions are put forward, such as increasing r&d investment, improving enterprises’ innovation ability, and introducing core scientific and technological talents to promote the export scale growth of high-tech industries. Model comparative analysis is made on the influence of traditional industries’ concentrated export, foreign trade environment, and cost advantage on the export of high-tech products. Through comparative analysis of the influencing factors of the export of high-tech products in the two periods before and after the export crisis of traditional culture, the new changes of the influencing factors of the export of high-tech products are analyzed. In addition, through the change of the internal and external environment of the current high-tech product export, the reasons for the new change of the influencing factors are discussed.