2020
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03248
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Analysis of twin deficits hypothesis in Indonesia and its impact on financial crisis

Abstract: This study aims to analyze the relationship between the current account and budget deficit (twin deficits hypothesis), measuring the account performance and other macroeconomic indicators in predicting the debt crisis in Indonesia. Furthermore, the data used for hypothesis was obtained from 2004q1-2017q4, followed by the application of the ARDL method, while values based on debt crisis were taken from the year 1981-2017, and indicators performance measurement required the use of Early Warning System (EWS) meth… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 36 publications
(59 reference statements)
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“…As a country that similarly relies on taxes for revenue, examining the influence of tax revenues on government expenditure is a fascinating exercise. Not to mention the fact that the Indonesian government's budget has constantly been in deficit in recent years (Handoyo et al,2020). The state budget deficit occurs when the government spends more than it earns; in Indonesia, the budget deficit has become a well-known phenomenon that appears to be inextricably linked to the country, since the government budget has always been in deficit from 2000 to 2020.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As a country that similarly relies on taxes for revenue, examining the influence of tax revenues on government expenditure is a fascinating exercise. Not to mention the fact that the Indonesian government's budget has constantly been in deficit in recent years (Handoyo et al,2020). The state budget deficit occurs when the government spends more than it earns; in Indonesia, the budget deficit has become a well-known phenomenon that appears to be inextricably linked to the country, since the government budget has always been in deficit from 2000 to 2020.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are three basic components needed for a nation's economic growth: 1) continuous increase in the supply of goods; 2) advanced technology as the main factor that determines the degree of growth in providing a variety of goods to the population; 3) widespread and efficient use of technology requires adjustments in the institutional and ideological fields, so that innovations produced by human science and technology can be utilized appropriately. Remittances also have a positive influence, but not significantly to economic growth in Indonesia in the long term [14]. However, in the context of the development of the creative economy, remittances can act as a source of funding that supports the development of creative industries in Indonesia.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Such financing should align with preventive strategies and advanced strategies for social protection measures, particularly for the uninsured [13]. Indonesia boasts social protection and insurance programs, including BPJS-Kesehatan, BPJS-Ketenagakerjaan, and cash/non-cash transfers like family assistance (PKH) and educational assistance (BOS) [14,15]. These initiatives should be integrated into a holistic disaster financing scheme and an advanced strategies for social protection to address calamities and climate-related events.…”
Section: Disaster Impact On Socio-economicmentioning
confidence: 99%