2008
DOI: 10.1007/bf03342701
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Analysts’ Forecast Accuracy in Germany: The Effect of Different Accounting Principles and Changes of Accounting Principles

Abstract: This paper assesses the influence of an adoption of IAS/IFRS or US GAAP on the financial analysts’ forecast accuracy in a homogenous institutional framework. Our findings suggest that the forecast accuracy is higher for estimates based on IFRS or US GAAP data than for forecasts based on German GAAP data. Moreover, in the year of switching from German GAAP to US GAAP the forecast accuracy is lower than in other years. The paper contributes to prior research by providing evidence about the usefulness of internat… Show more

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Cited by 41 publications
(55 citation statements)
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“…11 Prior studies show that a firm's disclosure carries a predictable value to analyst forecast (Lang and Lundholm 1996;McEwen and Hunton 1999;Hope 2003;Bhat et al 2006;Ertimur et al 2007) and analysts are able to predict earnings accurately in the presence of high disclosure quality settings (Byard et al 2006). This suggests that AFA is a reflection of a firm's disclosure environment (Ernstberger et al 2008).…”
Section: Disclosure Quality (Disq)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…11 Prior studies show that a firm's disclosure carries a predictable value to analyst forecast (Lang and Lundholm 1996;McEwen and Hunton 1999;Hope 2003;Bhat et al 2006;Ertimur et al 2007) and analysts are able to predict earnings accurately in the presence of high disclosure quality settings (Byard et al 2006). This suggests that AFA is a reflection of a firm's disclosure environment (Ernstberger et al 2008).…”
Section: Disclosure Quality (Disq)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our focus on earnings persistence is motivated by prior research (discussed below) suggesting that earnings management and analyst forecast errors differ for firms reporting under IFRS versus DAS (Ashbaugh and Pincus, 2001;Barth et al, 2008;Ernstberger et al, 2008;Jeanjean and Stolowy, 2008;Chen et al, 2010) and that earnings are more value-relevant under IFRS than under DAS in some countries (Bartov et al, 2005;Ndubizu and Sanchez, 2006;Barth et al, 2008). These differences may be due to differences in earnings persistence for firms reporting under IFRS.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…Empirical studies also support the theoretical prediction that a high quality disclosure is associated with decreased forecast errors and forecast dispersion (Lang and Lundholm 1996;Ashbaugh and Pincus 2001;Ernsberger et al 2008;Hodgdon et al 2008;Bae et al 2008;Byard et al 2011;Barth et al 2012;Horton et al 2013). Financial statements users have more information about the audit process and the EP's quality in the post-EP signature period than pre-EP signature period.…”
Section: H1mentioning
confidence: 52%