Environmental context. The chemical speciation of metals strongly influences their transport, fate and bioavailability in natural waters. Analytical measurement and modelling both play important roles in understanding speciation, while modelling is also needed for prediction. Here, we analyse a large set of data for fresh waters, estuarine and coastal waters, and open ocean water, to examine how well measurements and modelling predictions agree.Abstract. We compiled a data set of ,2000 published metal speciation measurements made on samples of fresh waters, estuarine and coastal waters, and open ocean waters. For each sample, we applied the chemical speciation model WHAM7 to calculate the equilibrium free metal ion concentrations, [M] (mol L À1 ), amounts of metal bound by dissolved organic matter (DOM), n (mol g À1 ), and their ratio n/[M] (L g À1 ), which is a kind of 'local' partition coefficient. Comparison of the measured and predicted speciation variables for the whole data set showed that agreements are best for fresh waters,