2013
DOI: 10.3945/ajcn.112.055095
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Anthropometric predictors of mortality in undernourished adults in the Ajiep Feeding Programme in Southern Sudan

Abstract: In this study, which was conducted at the height of a major famine among adults with extremely severe grades of undernutrition, MUAC and edema were better indicators of short-term prognosis than was BMI. Further studies are needed to define a critical MUAC threshold for the diagnosis of acute adult undernutrition.

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Cited by 9 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…36 For predicting mortality among adults in a famine setting, the AUC was statistically significantly greater for MUAC (0.71) than for body mass index (0.57). 37 In this study we did not aim to examine the ability of MUAC to detect overweight and obesity, and these were rare in our validation datasets. However, several studies, including one comprising data from 12 countries, report a close correlation between MUAC and body mass index in this age group, likely due to its concordance with fat mass, [31][32][33][34] and have suggested diagnostic cut-off values.…”
Section: Growth Referencesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…36 For predicting mortality among adults in a famine setting, the AUC was statistically significantly greater for MUAC (0.71) than for body mass index (0.57). 37 In this study we did not aim to examine the ability of MUAC to detect overweight and obesity, and these were rare in our validation datasets. However, several studies, including one comprising data from 12 countries, report a close correlation between MUAC and body mass index in this age group, likely due to its concordance with fat mass, [31][32][33][34] and have suggested diagnostic cut-off values.…”
Section: Growth Referencesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since both the average weight and height were lower among food-insecure women, the difference in BMI, which is, in fact, a ratio of the two, might have lost statistical significance. Moreover, several studies indicate that MUAC may be more sensitive to socioeconomic changes, better at detecting undernutrition, and superior prognostic indicator than BMI [71][72][73][74][75][76][77], and thus show a larger effect size. This can explain the statistical significance for MUAC and a lack of it for BMI in this study.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, although evidence is available from very few studies in adults, MUAC may be better than BMI for predicting risk of adverse outcomes including death. For example in adults with very severe acute malnutrition in a famine setting, [34]; in adult acute admissions to London Hospitals [35] and deaths during TB treatment in adult HIV positive patients under demographic surveillance in Guinea Bissau [36]. Finally, it is likely that MUAC may be more responsive in detecting changes in nutritional status as a result of therapeutic feeding or intervention and therefore represent a simple tool for patient monitoring compared to repeated weight measurements, but little published data is currently available [30].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%