Individual differences in the transition to adulthood are well established. This study examines the extent to which heterogeneity in pathways to adulthood that have been observed in the broader U.S. population are mirrored in adolescents' expectations regarding when they will experience key adult role transitions (e.g., marriage). Patterns of change in adolescents' expectations and the relations between their expectations and subsequent role transitions are also explored. Data from 626 youth in Grade 11 (M age = 16), Grade 12, and early adulthood (M age = 23) are analyzed using mover-stayer latent transition analysis. Results indicate three profiles of expected timing, corresponding to youth who anticipate early role entry (i.e., early starters), youth who anticipate earlier entry into employment but no other roles (i.e., employment-focused), and youth who anticipate delays in role transitions favoring increased education (i.e., education-focused). Twothirds of youths changed their expectations from Grade 11 to 12. Grade 11 and 12 profile membership predicted role transitions in early adulthood. These findings highlight the importance of adolescents' expectations and changes in expectations across time in shaping entry into adulthood.
KeywordsAdolescence; future orientation; aspiration; expectation; longitudinal; transition to adulthood The transition to adulthood is made up of multiple role transitions, typically represented as changes in status within the domains of education, work, independent living, romantic relationships, and family formation (e.g., Hogan & Astone, 1986). It is widely assumed that adolescence sets the stage for these transitions, as adolescents make decisions about education, work, and family formation that have implications for their future life course (Shanahan, 2000). Consistent with this notion, prior research has shown that adolescents formulate goals for their adult lives and have a sense of when key role transitions will occur (Greene, 1990;Nurmi, 1993;2004). Furthermore, adolescents' expectations regarding their future transitions are presumed to influence the decisions they make and their actual pattern Corresponding Author: Sarah J. Beal, 3333 Burnet Avenue, MLC 7015, Cincinnati, sarah.beal@cchmc.org;. (Crockett & Beal, 2012). Indeed, findings show that adolescents' expectations regarding their adult roles and the timing of role transitions are associated with their outcomes in early adulthood (Beal & Crockett, 2010;Johnson & Mortimer, 2000;Mello, 2008). Taken together, theory and empirical evidence support the notion that expectations for adult role transitions provide a cognitive framework (or road map) that guides adolescents' behavior and influences their transition to adulthood.
HHS Public AccessAlthough these findings provide a promising foundation, several key questions about the process linking adolescents' expectations and their actual patterns of role transitions remain unanswered. These include: a) whether and how expectations in one domain (e.g., work) are sy...