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IntroductionThis work employs a coupled evaluation model that integrates deterministic coefficients with the Analytic Hierarchy Process to conduct a comprehensive assessment of geological disaster susceptibility in Shenzhen Town, Ninghai County.MethodsCascading geological disasters induced by typhoons and rainfall in the southeast coastal area of China are a major concern and cause huge losses of life and property every year. To effectively prevent and mitigate such disasters, it is necessary to evaluate the susceptibility of geological disasters. Taking geological disasters in Shenzhen Town, Ninghai County as the research object, eight influencing factors in terms of topographic and geomorphological conditions, engineering geological conditions, and human activities were selected based on the geographic information platform (GIS) in this work. The coupling model of the certainty factor model and analytic hierarchy process method was used to evaluate the susceptibility of geological hazards in the study area.ResultsThe evaluation results illustrate that the coupling model can accurately and objectively assess the susceptibility of geological hazards in this region, with a high evaluation accuracy of 80.8%. The susceptibility is greatly affected by slope, stratigraphic lithology, and human activities. The areas with extraordinarily high and high susceptibility were identified in the northwestern part of the study, where the ignimbrite is exposed in the steep topography.DiscussionThe research method provides a reference for evaluating the susceptibility of geological hazards in the southeastern coastal region of China, and the evaluation results can provide recommendations for decision-making on disaster prevention and mitigation in this region.
IntroductionThis work employs a coupled evaluation model that integrates deterministic coefficients with the Analytic Hierarchy Process to conduct a comprehensive assessment of geological disaster susceptibility in Shenzhen Town, Ninghai County.MethodsCascading geological disasters induced by typhoons and rainfall in the southeast coastal area of China are a major concern and cause huge losses of life and property every year. To effectively prevent and mitigate such disasters, it is necessary to evaluate the susceptibility of geological disasters. Taking geological disasters in Shenzhen Town, Ninghai County as the research object, eight influencing factors in terms of topographic and geomorphological conditions, engineering geological conditions, and human activities were selected based on the geographic information platform (GIS) in this work. The coupling model of the certainty factor model and analytic hierarchy process method was used to evaluate the susceptibility of geological hazards in the study area.ResultsThe evaluation results illustrate that the coupling model can accurately and objectively assess the susceptibility of geological hazards in this region, with a high evaluation accuracy of 80.8%. The susceptibility is greatly affected by slope, stratigraphic lithology, and human activities. The areas with extraordinarily high and high susceptibility were identified in the northwestern part of the study, where the ignimbrite is exposed in the steep topography.DiscussionThe research method provides a reference for evaluating the susceptibility of geological hazards in the southeastern coastal region of China, and the evaluation results can provide recommendations for decision-making on disaster prevention and mitigation in this region.
In 2013, a Ms 6.6 earthquake occurred at the boundary of Min County and Zhang County, triggering numerous landslides. Notably, two landslides with significantly different sliding characteristics emerged less than 100 m apart in Yongguang Village, Min County. The eastern landslide was characterized by instability induced by seismic inertial forces, whereas the western landslide exhibited flow slides triggered by liquefaction in loess. To further analyze the causes of these landslides, this study employed a 1 m depth ground temperature survey to probe the shallow groundwater in the area, aiming to understand the distribution of shallow groundwater. Based on the results from the 1 m depth ground temperature survey, a random forest model was applied to regressively predict the initial groundwater levels. The TRIGRS model was utilized to evaluate the influence of pre-earthquake rainfall conditions on landslide stability, and the pore water pressure outputs from TRIGRS were integrated with the Scoops3D model to analyze landslide stability under seismic effects. The results indicate that the combination of the 1 m depth ground temperature survey with high-density electrical methods and random forest approaches effectively captures the initial groundwater levels across the region. Notably, the heavy rainfall occurring one day prior to the earthquake did not significantly reduce the stability of the landslide in Yongguang Village. Instead, the abundant groundwater in the source area of the western landslide, combined with several months of pre-earthquake rainfall, resulted in elevated groundwater levels that created favorable conditions for its occurrence. While the primary triggering factor for both landslides in Yongguang Village was the earthquake, the distinct topographic and groundwater conditions led to significantly different sliding characteristics under seismic influence at the same slope.
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