Application of Discrete 3-level Nested Logit Model in Travel Demand Forecasting as an Alternative to Traditional 4-Step Model

Elmorssy, Mahmoud; Tezcan, Hüseyin Onur

doi:10.5829/ije.2019.32.10a.11

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 23 publications

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“…It involves evaluating the current transportation system, including road networks and public transportation, and developing new systems that meet the needs of urban residents. The ultimate goal of transport planning is to ensure the smooth flow of people and goods while reducing congestion, which can have many benefits, such as more efficient use of resources and less air pollution [3][4][5]. One of the biggest challenges in transport planning is the increasing traffic volume in cities worldwide.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Hafram

Valery

Hasim

2023

IJE

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This research aims to calibrate and validate the VISSIM simulation model tool by comparing field data with simulation data. The ultimate goal is to evaluate traffic performance by comparing simulation results with direct observations in the field. This study uses modeling to determine a road segment's maximum flow volume. This study was conducted in Makassar, South Sulawesi, Indonesia, on Jalan Veteran Selatan. The method uses two main inputs: urban road primary capacity data from the Indonesian Highway Capacity Manual (IHCM 1997) and roadside activity data from PTV VISSIM. The GEH and MAPE have commonly used metrics for measuring the accuracy of simulation models and calibration measurements using driving behavior parameters. The research results obtained for validation measurements have met the requirements. Namely, the obtained MEPE value (7.38%) is 10% smaller than the obtained GEH value (2.032 and 3.961), which is still more than 5.00. The calibration measurements obtained the suitability of the vehicle location and intervehicle spacing in the simulation model (VISSIM) with the actual field conditions. The results obtained from using VISSIM can be reliable and helpful in designing and optimizing urban transportation systems in the future. It is essential to remember that traffic simulation with VISSIM is only a transportation decision-making and planning tool and must be combined with field observations and accurate data for adequate and efficient transportation solutions.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Hafram

Valery

Hasim

2023

IJE

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Sub-activity site selection and activity choice modelling in planned special events

Ergin¹

2021

European Transport/Trasporti Europei

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The purpose of the study is to evaluate the impacts of the variables on site selection decision of the spectators just before the main activity in order to engage in eating, having fun and performing other types of activities. A multinomial logit modelling framework is hired to model activity patterns within PSE circumstances. Activities were classified into three groups that are “Eating”, “Entertainment”, and “Other”. Model estimation on PSE survey data set from selected stadiums in Istanbul shows that due to the congestion, as travel time and activity duration increase the spectators inclined to be around the stadium 184 minutes in average before the starting time of the main activity. The results obtained from this study can be used as a micro input for the macro studies such as transportation master plans and urban plans and can offer complementary research areas for PSE traffic management and urban planning.

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Application of Discrete 3-level Nested Logit Model in Travel Demand Forecasting as an Alternative to Traditional 4-Step Model

Cited by 2 publications

References 23 publications

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Sub-activity site selection and activity choice modelling in planned special events

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