“…These values are needed to make the prediction. It is shown in Appendix A that the probability of a failure F, in a length L , having survived a proof stress U,,, is F, = I -exp (Lu,"(uj; -(s/t,,)''l'")) (4) where S = E ( u " t ) for all applied stresses U for time t experienced by the length L, including the prooftest, and the fatigue constant n is derived empirically. This result is equivalent to that of [21], but is here derived with minimal dependence on fatigue theory, making use instead of empirical data and the equivalence of the fatigue processes in the field and in the prooftest.…”