2005
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2004.02.012
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Application of multi-steps forecasting for restraining the bullwhip effect and improving inventory performance under autoregressive demand

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Cited by 78 publications
(32 citation statements)
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“…Chen et al (2000) earlier obtained similar results, statistically deriving a closed form expression for the lower bound of the bullwhip effect in a two-stage supply chain employing Order-Up-To with moving average forecasting method and facing an autoregressive AR(1) demand process. Many studies have attempted to quantify the combined impact of Order-Up-To policy with different forecasting methods (Chen et al, 2000;Dejonckheere et al, 2003;Zhang, 2004;Chandra & Grabis, 2005;Kelepouris, Miliotis, & Pramatari, 2008;Wright & Yuan, 2008), and lead-time (Chen et al, 2000;Chatfield et al, 2004;Zhang, 2004;Chandra & Grabis, 2005;Kelepouris et al, 2008;Agrawal, Sengupta, & Shanker, 2009). Furthermore, the impact of collaboration and information sharing, as a bullwhip effect avoidance approach, has been evaluated and quantified in supply chains employ the order-up-to policy (Chen et al, 2000;Chatfield et al, 2004;Kelepouris et al, 2008;Costantino, Di Gravio, Shaban, & Tronci, 2013b, 2014c.…”
Section: Retailermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Chen et al (2000) earlier obtained similar results, statistically deriving a closed form expression for the lower bound of the bullwhip effect in a two-stage supply chain employing Order-Up-To with moving average forecasting method and facing an autoregressive AR(1) demand process. Many studies have attempted to quantify the combined impact of Order-Up-To policy with different forecasting methods (Chen et al, 2000;Dejonckheere et al, 2003;Zhang, 2004;Chandra & Grabis, 2005;Kelepouris, Miliotis, & Pramatari, 2008;Wright & Yuan, 2008), and lead-time (Chen et al, 2000;Chatfield et al, 2004;Zhang, 2004;Chandra & Grabis, 2005;Kelepouris et al, 2008;Agrawal, Sengupta, & Shanker, 2009). Furthermore, the impact of collaboration and information sharing, as a bullwhip effect avoidance approach, has been evaluated and quantified in supply chains employ the order-up-to policy (Chen et al, 2000;Chatfield et al, 2004;Kelepouris et al, 2008;Costantino, Di Gravio, Shaban, & Tronci, 2013b, 2014c.…”
Section: Retailermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Obviously, the influence factors of trend value and seasonal fluctuation should be introduced in wire rope of navigation marks prediction research. Therefore, single exponential smoothing forecast can be unsuited for navigation marks' spare parts' prediction research [7][8] .…”
Section: Navigation Marks' Spare Parts Demand In Yangtze Rivermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Ng, Partington and Sculli (1993) are of the opinion that long lead times and large usage fluctuation call for higher re-order stock levels and viceversa. Chandra and Grabis (2005) argue that a reduction in the inventory replenishment lead-time allows reducing safety stock and improving customer service. Wallin, Rugtusanatham and Rabinovitch (2006) also view lead-time as an important inventory element.…”
Section: Inventory Management In Smes: a Review Of Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%