The oil production predicted by means of the conventional water-drive characteristic curve is typically affected by large deviations with respect to the actual value when the so-called high water-cut stage is entered. In order to solve this problem, a new characteristic relationship between the relative permeability ratio and the average water saturation is proposed. By comparing the outcomes of different matching methods, it is verified that it can well reflect the variation characteristics of the relative permeability ratio curve. Combining the new formula with a reservoir engineering method, two new formulas are derived for the water flooding characteristic curve in the high water-cut stage. Their practicability is verified by using the production data of Mawangmiao and Xijiakou blocks. The results show that the error between the predicted cumulative oil production and production data of the two new water drive characteristic curves is less than the error between the B-type water drive characteristic curve and the other two water drive characteristic curves. It is concluded that the two new characteristic curves can be used to estimate more accurately the recoverable reserves, the final recovery and to estimate the effects of water flooding.
KEYWORDSWater flooding characteristic curve; high water cut period; production dynamic prediction; recoverable reserves; water flooding Nomenclature WOR Water-oil ratio; Q w Water production, t/day; Q o Oil production, t/day; K rw , K ro Relative permeability of water phase and oil phase; μ w , μ o Water, oil viscosity, mPa⋅s; B w , B o Water and oil volume coefficient, m 3 /m 3 ; a, b, c Constants influenced by reservoir and fluid properties; A, B, C, C 1 Constants; S w Water saturation, %; S w Average water saturation, %; S we Outlet end water saturation;