2014
DOI: 10.1177/0972652714534023
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Applying Approximate Entropy (ApEn) to Speculative Bubble in the Stock Market

Abstract: The paper introduces an order statistic, Approximate Entropy (ApEn), to investigate the presence of speculative bubbles in the equity market. In contrast to the traditional duration dependence test, the paper using Approximate Entropy examines three major events of stock market crash in US, Japan, and India. In addition, the paper also investigates the 1997 Asian crisis using weekly data from seven major Asian indices which includes Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia and Japan.The evidenc… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…However, we do not observe that the regularity techniques studied in this paper can serve to predict an imminent “crash”. Thus, although previous research suggests that these algorithms can serve as leading indicators of the existence of crises or bubbles 4,8,10 , the results of this work cannot validate those conclusions. A situation such as the bubble of the dot com is not reflected in the NASDAQ before the index begins to fall, nor the falls in the Hang Seng in 1997–1998 can be predicted using ApEn or the Pincus Index.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 88%
“…However, we do not observe that the regularity techniques studied in this paper can serve to predict an imminent “crash”. Thus, although previous research suggests that these algorithms can serve as leading indicators of the existence of crises or bubbles 4,8,10 , the results of this work cannot validate those conclusions. A situation such as the bubble of the dot com is not reflected in the NASDAQ before the index begins to fall, nor the falls in the Hang Seng in 1997–1998 can be predicted using ApEn or the Pincus Index.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 88%
“…LPPLS differs from other methods (Phillips 2015 ) because its methodological approach does not require econometric modelling and therefore can be considered in all respects a “multidisciplinary” tool (Benth et al 2013 ; Fantazzini 2019 ). On the same class of methods, but based instead on the entropy concept, are those introduced by Stosic et al ( 2016 ) and Bhaduri ( 2014 ). Empirical results suggest that financial crises are associated with significant increase of exchange rate entropy (Stosic et al 2016 ), reflecting instability in FX market dynamics, and that there are strong “tell-tale” signs characterized by low Approximate Entropy (ApEn) level during many of crash events (Bhaduri 2014 ).…”
Section: The Need Of Multidisciplinary Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the same class of methods, but based instead on the entropy concept, are those introduced by Stosic et al ( 2016 ) and Bhaduri ( 2014 ). Empirical results suggest that financial crises are associated with significant increase of exchange rate entropy (Stosic et al 2016 ), reflecting instability in FX market dynamics, and that there are strong “tell-tale” signs characterized by low Approximate Entropy (ApEn) level during many of crash events (Bhaduri 2014 ). The approaches followed by Stosic et al ( 2016 ) and Bhaduri ( 2014 ) have the advantage that, as is the case for the entropy-based tools, they do not require a parametric model and work directly on the data.…”
Section: The Need Of Multidisciplinary Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Its development was motivated by the length constraints of biological data. Since then it has been used in different fields such as psychology [118], psychiatry [119], and finance [120][121][122][123][124]. Pincus co-authored with Kalman [124], considering both empirical data and models, including composite indices, individual stock prices, the random-walk hypothesis, Black-Sholes, and fractional Brownian motion models to demonstrate the benefits of ApEn applied to the classical econometric modeling apparatus.…”
Section: Entropy As a Measure Of Complexitymentioning
confidence: 99%