Applying backcasting and system dynamics towards sustainable development: The housing planning case for low-income citizens in Brazil

Musse, Jorge de Oliveira; Homrich, Aline Sacchi; Mello, Renato de; Carvalho, Marly Monteiro de

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.04.219

Cited by 15 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 139 publications

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“…It is believed that policymakers in the region focus on ensuring the process of sustainable city planning to be in accordance with existing cultural and historical values (El-Kholei, 2019). Similarly yet differently in articulating strategies, in Latin American cities, the definition of success and failure of sustainable city planning in ensuring economic, social, and environmental development harmony persists in the actual process of promoting sustainable city planning, such as public participation and equality of skills and knowledge among urban stakeholders (Acosta & Parga, 2012;Musse et al, 2018). Meanwhile, in Chinese cities and the UAE, similar outcomes have to be achieved through continuously encouraged technology and innovation developments (Crot, 2013;Fu & Zhang, 2017;Xiao, Li, & Wang, 2011).…”

Section: Concepts and Practicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable City Planning Concepts and Practices in Emerging Economies: A Systematic Review

Permana

Harsanto

2020

JISDeP

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The purpose of this paper is to explore sustainable city planning concepts and practices in emerging economies. Using a systematic review, peer-reviewed articles in an academic database were systematically searched and reviewed. The process included selecting appropriate keywords to assist in screening relevant articles, allowing more comprehensive and integrated findings of the concepts and practices of sustainable city planning in emerging economies, assisted by the NVivo 12 qualitative software package and Microsoft Excel. This paper also developed a framework comprised of key elements to measure the sustainability of city planning. The findings showed that, by reviewing more than 30 peer- reviewed articles, it was understood that Western sustainable city planning concepts have been directly adopted into the policy agendas of emerging countries without significant changes. However, such concepts were interpreted into a number of different practices dealing with the local socio-cultural and political characteristics of the adopting countries. Lastly, during the systematic review, this paper offers a comprehensive evaluation of the overall mapping of literature in the framework of sustainable city planning in emerging countries, indicating a number of areas that have been explored by existing studies as well as certain areas that are still lacking and could be potentially explored by future studies.

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Section: Concepts and Practicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable City Planning Concepts and Practices in Emerging Economies: A Systematic Review

Permana

Harsanto

2020

JISDeP

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“…Appendix A presents a refined list of publications, as prepared by Musse et al (2018), which take into account DSSs, considering sustainability, fuzzy logic, and small hydroelectric plants, as well as suggestions for applications and scientific research in strategic sectors in different countries. These works total 66 publications, of which 54 are in the Scopus collection and date from 2006 to 2020, a fact that illustrates the contemporary nature of the studies due to the growing government and business speculation on this theme.…”

Section: Fuzzy Expert System (Fes) As a Decision Support System (Dss)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Relevant issues include not only the environment, but also social and economic interactions, as well as the evolution of alternative energy systems (Pagnussatt, Petrini, Santos, & Silveira, 2017). In order to meet the sustainability needs, academic, governmental, and specialists from different sectors have recently dedicated themselves to solving problems in strategic areas (Musse, Homrich, Mello, & Carvalho, 2018). The need to integrate sustainable development in the hydroelectric sector motivates public authorities, who are responsible for the management of water resources, to adopt adequate decision support systems (DSSs).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

System for assessing the sustainability conditions of small hydro plants by fuzzy logic

Clauberg

Mello

Simioni

et al. 2020

Sustainable Development

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This work presents a system for an integrated evaluation of the implementation of small hydroelectric power plants (SHPs), based on a soft decision tree. The method generates the enterprise's sustainability index, where economic, environmental, and social aspects are considered in its interactions, with indicators measured in the field, sectoral indexes, and final index generated by fuzzy logic rule blocks. The methodology used to select the indicators and indexes followed four phases. First, a fuzzy expert system (FES) was developed in the form of a soft decision tree. Then, the array of suggested variables and weights were submitted to expert analysis using the Delphi methodology, and their assessments were collected. The third phase was the improvement of the system, taking into account the obtained considerations.In the fourth phase, the system was applied to a case study based on the installation of an SHP in the southern region of Brazil. The results obtained in the case study showed the sustainability of the enterprise. The presented method can have a significant contribution in supporting decisions regarding the licensing of hydroelectric projects.

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“…Branching out from the housing buildout approach may involve the conservation districts, and transit-oriented, mixed-use, and infill development discussed by Göçmen et al [8]. The downsizing of dwellings of Sandberg [5], the "backcasting" of Musse et al [6], the "eco-districts" of Stachuro [9], the Blue-Green Infrastructure network approach of Ahmed et al [21], and the expanded business model of Dunphy et al [13] can help inform future planning and put the two scenarios described above into a broader perspective.…”

Section: Policy Implications and Conclusionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Sandberg [5] approached sustainable housing by looking at proposed downsizing of dwellings in Finland. Musse et al [6] applied a "backcasting" approach to providing low-income housing in a Brazilian city through a vision of a sustainable future. Koshkar et al [7] studied the impact of urban growth and residential densification on urban-suburban green space and ecosystem services in sections of the Stockholm region.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Residential Land Use Change in the Wissahickon Creek Watershed: Profitability and Sustainability?

2019

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The Wissahickon Creek Watershed is one of five major watersheds in the Philadelphia metro region. The main objective of the work in this paper was to determine and compare the energy and environmental impacts of placing housing in the Watershed according to profitability and environmental sustainability criteria, respectively, in the context of increasing urbanization. Future population and employment for the Watershed have been projected by the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission. Housing requirements for the projected populations in each municipality were computed, and their location was influenced by the local zoning ordinances. Suitability analysis using ArcGIS 10.6 generated areas for development based alternatively on profitability and local sustainability. CommunityViz 5.2 Scenario 360 software was used to place buildings within the appropriately-zoned areas. Using Argonne National Laboratory's Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation (GREET1 2018) software and water quality monitoring information from the Philadelphia Water Department, impacts were directly estimated. The impacts were related to effects on ecosystem functioning, ecosystem goods and services, and broad value estimated for the latter. The effects were used to indicate what might be appropriate policies to reduce the negative environmental consequences of residential development in the watershed. Unexpectedly, the environmental impacts of the profitable and sustainable scenarios were not very different. This suggests that profitability and sustainability need not be mutually exclusive.

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Applying backcasting and system dynamics towards sustainable development: The housing planning case for low-income citizens in Brazil

Cited by 15 publications

References 139 publications

Sustainable City Planning Concepts and Practices in Emerging Economies: A Systematic Review

Sustainable City Planning Concepts and Practices in Emerging Economies: A Systematic Review

System for assessing the sustainability conditions of small hydro plants by fuzzy logic

Residential Land Use Change in the Wissahickon Creek Watershed: Profitability and Sustainability?

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