2021
DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/1959/1/012047
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Approaches and collisions of asteroids with the Moon and planets

Abstract: In this paper we discuss the characteristics of possible collisions of the asteroid Apophis with the Earth. We use the initial conditions published in mid-January 2021 (the nominal orbit NASA), i.e. new observations for Apophis. Estimates of the probability of collisions of dangerous asteroids with planets and the Moon were obtained using the Monte Carlo method.

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“…Apophis is an interesting asteroid because its initial collision probability is estimated to be as high as 2.7% for the year 2029. It is expected to enter what is known as a gravity keyhole, which could exacerbate the probability of an impact in 2036 (Sokolov et al, 2021;Fauziah et al, 2020;Utama & Rusdiana, 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Apophis is an interesting asteroid because its initial collision probability is estimated to be as high as 2.7% for the year 2029. It is expected to enter what is known as a gravity keyhole, which could exacerbate the probability of an impact in 2036 (Sokolov et al, 2021;Fauziah et al, 2020;Utama & Rusdiana, 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%