2020
DOI: 10.1162/edfp_a_00301
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Appropriate Standards of Evidence for Education Policy Decision Making

Abstract: Education policy makers must make decisions under uncertainty. Thus, how they think about risks has important implications for resource allocation, interventions, innovation, and the information that is provided to the public. In this policy brief we illustrate how the standard of evidence for making decisions can be quite inconsistently applied, in part because of how research findings are reported and contextualized. We argue that inconsistencies in evaluating the probabilities of risks and rewards can lead … Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…This leads to a second, and related, defense of using an assessment like edTPA. Conaway and Goldhaber (2018) argue that, in developing accountability systems and evaluating measurement errors, it is important to consider the counterfactual , the fact that alternative and status quo methods can be even more problematic from a measurement perspective. We reject this argument for two reasons.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This leads to a second, and related, defense of using an assessment like edTPA. Conaway and Goldhaber (2018) argue that, in developing accountability systems and evaluating measurement errors, it is important to consider the counterfactual , the fact that alternative and status quo methods can be even more problematic from a measurement perspective. We reject this argument for two reasons.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We should inform policy makers of the conditionality of our findings and of the uncertainty that is a fundamental property of scientific knowledge. Such uncertainties could include, for instance, problems of scaling up effective small-scale interventions (Kizilcec et al 2020) and the uncertainty of statistical effects (Conaway and Goldhaber 2020). In a way, social scientists exchanging knowledge with policy makers are pulled between the certainty requested by policy makers and the fundamental uncertainty of scientific knowledge.…”
Section: A Split Between the Certainty Desired By Policy Makers And T...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…G. Chambers, 1999). Just as impacts must be measured relative to alternatives, costs must also be measured relative to the relevant policy alternatives (Conaway & Goldhaber, 2018; Rice, 1997). Equity concerns again demand considering the distribution of costs borne by recipients and intervenors.…”
Section: Framework For Research Worth Usingmentioning
confidence: 99%