It is shown that the conductance G of molecular tunnel junctions wherein the charge transport is dominated by a single energy level can be expressed in closed analytic form which is exact and valid at arbitrary temperature T and model parameter values. On this basis, it is shown that the single-step tunneling mechanism is compatible with a continuous thermal transition from a weakly T-dependent G at low T (Sommerfeld regime) to a nearly exponential 1∕T-dependent G at high T (Arrhenius-like regime). This Sommerfeld-Arrhenius transition can be observed in real molecular junctions and can be continuously tuned, for example, via mechanical stretching.