Are Voters Sensitive to Terrorism? Direct Evidence from the Israeli Electorate

Berrebi, Claude; Klor, Esteban F.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.963965

Cited by 102 publications

(155 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Berrebi and Klor found that terrorism caused an increase in the relative support for political parties from the right end of the political spectrum, which place more weight on terrorism-deterrence policies. In addition, their conclusions supported the idea that terrorism polarises the electorate (Berrebi 2008). For example, their study showed that terrorism causes an increase in support for the right bloc in all localities with right-leaning preferences and a decrease in support for the right bloc in all localities with left-leaning preferences.…”

Section: Terrorism and Political Preferencessupporting

confidence: 52%

Terrorism and Public Opinion in Australia

Pietsch¹,

McAllister²

2012

Australia: Identity, Fear and Governance in the 21st Century

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Section: Terrorism and Political Preferencessupporting

confidence: 52%

Terrorism and Public Opinion in Australia

Pietsch¹,

McAllister²

2012

Australia: Identity, Fear and Governance in the 21st Century

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“…In the incidence regressions we find that it is the second lag on days with successful suicide 13 Some recent studies provide empirical support to the notion that violence radicalizes the victimized population: Berrebi and Klor (2007) document that Israeli voters are more likely to vote for right-wing parties in response to Palestinian terrorist attacks; find that violence against Palestinians leads to a decrease in support for the moderate Fatah faction. 14 In these robustness tests we experiment with a number of different transformations of the dependent variable "total Palestinian fatalities."…”

mentioning

confidence: 60%

The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings

Jaeger

Paserman

2009

QJPS

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In this paper we examine the dynamics of suicide attacks and targeted killings in the Second Intifada. We find evidence that the targeted killings of Palestinian leaders by Israel reduce realized Palestinian violence. We find, however, that intended Palestinian violence is increasing at low levels of targeted killings, but decreasing at higher levels. We find that suicide bombings that kill at least one Israeli lead to a subsequent increase in the incidence and levels of Palestinian fatalities. Our results do not support the notion that suicide attacks and targeted killings follow the "tit-for-tat" pattern that is commonly postulated in the literature.Keywords: suicide terrorism, targeted killings, assassinations, Second Intifada, Palestinians, Israel 1 Unlike a conventional war involving ground or air combat on a battlefield between nation-states with armies of (roughly) equal capacity fighting to claim territory, several recent conflicts have taken place in populated civilian areas between groups with substantial differences in military capacity. These conflicts may include targeted killings (assassinations) of specific leaders on one side and suicide attacks on other -policies primarily designed to incapacitate or demoralize the opponent rather than to directly claim territory. In both cases, civilians are either deliberately targeted (as with suicide attacks) or are likely to be killed in the process (as with targeted killings). This kind of decentralized, somewhat sporadic, and clearly psychologically oriented warfare may be one of the defining characteristics of many of the conflicts of the 21st century.In the long-standing conflict between the Palestinians and Israel, the Second Intifada has been characterized by the increased use of suicide attacks by the Palestinians and an increased number of Israeli targeted killings of Palestinian militants of all ranks. Nearly half of the over 1,000 Israeli fatalities in the Second Intifada have been caused by suicide attacks, while about 8 percent of more than 4,100 Palestinian fatalities have occurred during targeted killings. Of these, nearly 40 percent were not the targeted individual(s).1 While neither of these tactics was introduced during the Second Intifada, 2 their heightened prevalence has resulted in their being perceived as the defining characteristics of the conflict. Palestinian violence increases when one moves from zero to one or two targeted killings per month, but then decreases at higher levels.In the next section we discuss the previous literature on suicide terrorism and targeted killings. We then briefly discuss our empirical approach. In Section III we describe our data on violence and intended violence. In Section IV we discuss the prevalence of suicide attacks among overall Israeli fatalities and the prevalence of targeted killings among all Palestinian fatalities. In Section V, we estimate the Israeli reaction to realized and intended suicide attacks by the Palestinians. We examine realized Palestinian reactions to targeted killings...

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“…Such negative effects may feed through to a reduction of overall economic growth (Crain and Crain 2006;Gaibulloev and Sandler 2008). It may also produce political costs, e.g., by affecting government stability (Gassebner, Jong-A-Pin and Mierau 2008) or voter behavior (Berrebi and Klor 2008). regularly use terror as a means to meet other objectives. The main hypothesis is that terror is more easily generated in those parts of the world where poor socio-economic conditions and institutions prevail.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The origins of terrorism: Cross-country estimates of socio-economic determinants of terrorism

Freytag

Krüger

Meierrieks

et al. 2011

European Journal of Political Economy

240

169

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Abstract:As a prerequisite of an appropriate anti-terror strategy, it is indispensable to assess the underlying causes of terror. We examine social and economic conditions in the country of origin of terrorist attacks, claiming that low opportunity costs of terror, e.g., approximated by slow growth and poor institutions raise the likelihood of terror and the willingness in the population to support terror. Using a negative binomial regression model, we are able to show that unfortunate socio-economic conditions in a country are likely to reduce the opportunity costs of potential terrorists and increase the number of terrorist attacks originating from a specific country. Interestingly, this effect is particularly relevant after a certain level of development has been reached. We therefore distinguish between several broad country groups, namely the OECD, Europe and Islamic countries.JEL classification: P16, F15, C25

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Are Voters Sensitive to Terrorism? Direct Evidence from the Israeli Electorate

Cited by 102 publications

References 37 publications

Terrorism and Public Opinion in Australia

Terrorism and Public Opinion in Australia

The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings

The origins of terrorism: Cross-country estimates of socio-economic determinants of terrorism

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