Armed Conflict and Fertility in Colombia, 2000–2010

Torres, Andrés F. Castro; Urdinola, B. Piedad

doi:10.1007/s11113-018-9489-x

Cited by 21 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 44 publications

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“…The absence of social (and in many cases statistical) significance was consistent across all measurements of armed conflict, including if captured as events or fatalities or at the municipality instead of department, which is consistent with Castro Torres and Urdinola's (2018) models. Departments may be preferable over municipalities, since municipality boundaries changed over the study period and sampling on the lowest level is not representative of the population.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 79%

“…Type of place of residence only related—positively—to wanting more children within 2 years, which could partially drive the positive fertility effect of conflict in rural areas that Castro Torres and Urdinola (2018) found.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 93%

“…Women living in rural areas had a higher preference for considering four or more children to be ideal, again a potential driver of Castro Torres and Urdinola's (2018) findings.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 94%

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The remarkable stability of fertility desires during the Colombian armed conflict 2000–2016

Svallfors

2021

Population Space and Place

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Limited attention has been paid so far to the impacts of war on proximate determinants of fertility, including childbearing preferences. This study explores the relationship between exposure to local conflict violence and fertility desires in Colombia. I combined nationally representative micro-level data on the timing, frequency and decisiveness of reproductive preferences from the Demographic and Health Surveys, with geospatial information about local violence from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program from 2000 to 2016. The results show a remarkable stability in women's childbearing desires in relation to conflict during the observation period, robust to multiple respecifications of the study sample, statistical model and conflict measurements.The study indicates that previously reported increases to fertility behaviour cannot be explained by altered preferences, suggesting a surge in unwanted pregnancies. This highlights the need for policy programs to support women in realising their fertility preferences, whatever they may be.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 79%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 93%

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The remarkable stability of fertility desires during the Colombian armed conflict 2000–2016

Svallfors

2021

Population Space and Place

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“…In Latin America, the concentration of resources in large cities and the residential segregation that characterises urban development make within-class interactions more likely to occur, and increase the chances that these interactions will be more instrumental in transmitting ideas than between-class interactions. Moreover, the historical isolation of rural areas, especially those affected by violence, reduces the chances of between-class interactions taking place (Castro Torres and Urdinola 2019 ).…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Latin American Fertility in Terms of Probable Social Classes

Torres

2020

Eur J Population

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Theories of demographic change have not paid enough attention to how factors associated with fertility decline play different roles across social classes that are defined multidimensionally. I use a multidimensional definition of social class along with information on the reproductive histories of women born between 1920 and 1965 in six Latin American countries to show the following: the enduring connection between social stratification and fertility differentials, the concomitance of diverse fertility decline trajectories by class, and the role of within- and between-class social distances in promoting/preventing ideational change towards the acceptance of lower fertility. These results enable me to revisit the scope of theories of fertility change and to provide an explanatory narrative centred on empirically constructed social classes (probable social classes) and the macro- and micro-level conditions that influenced their life courses. I use 21 census samples collected between 1970 and 2005 in Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Paraguay.

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“…While most research suggests “disruptive” effects of conflict on fertility, some country‐specific studies in Middle Eastern and sub‐Saharan African countries and, more recently, Latin America provide evidence for the “fertility promotion” hypothesis (see, for instance, Abbasi‐Shavazi, McDonald, and Hosseini‐Chavoshi (2009) for Iran; Cetorelli (2014) for Iraq; Yucesahin and Ozgur (2008) for Kurdish populations in south‐eastern Turkey; Khawaja and Randall (2006) for the Occupied Palestinian Territories; Schindler and Brück (2011) and Kraehnert et al. (2019) for Rwanda, and Castro Torres and Urdinola (2019) for Colombia). A positive relationship is also documented at the macrolevel.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Armed Conflict and the Timing of Childbearing in Azerbaijan

Torrisi¹

2020

Population & Development Rev

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Research on fertility changes in former Soviet states of the South Caucasus is scant and has overlooked the role of armed conflicts. This study contributes to filling these gaps by providing the first detailed account of fertility changes in Azerbaijan since independence and by exploring them in relation to the Nagorno‐Karabakh conflict with Armenia. Estimates from retrospective birth history data from the 2006 Demographic and Health Survey show that since 1991 period fertility declined to almost below‐replacement levels, essentially as a result of stopping behavior, and, only recently, slight birth postponement. While the conflict seems to have little influence on aggregate trends, discrete‐time logit models accounting for unobserved heterogeneity reveal a 42–45 percent higher risk of transitioning to the second birth for women who have been exposed to conflict violence—whether in the form of forced migration or because of residence in the conflict‐torn Karabakh region—than for nonexposed women. Never‐migrant women from Karabakh have also significantly higher probability of having a first child. Further positive effects on fertility are observed for women who lost a child during peak conflict years. Risk‐insurance and replacement effects are possible mechanisms explaining such fertility responses.

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Armed Conflict and Fertility in Colombia, 2000–2010

Cited by 21 publications

References 44 publications

The remarkable stability of fertility desires during the Colombian armed conflict 2000–2016

The remarkable stability of fertility desires during the Colombian armed conflict 2000–2016

Analysis of Latin American Fertility in Terms of Probable Social Classes

Armed Conflict and the Timing of Childbearing in Azerbaijan

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