The form ation of superimposed ice at the surface of high-Arctic glaciers is a n important control on glacier m ass bala nce, but one which is usually m odelled in only a schem atic fashion. A m ethod is developed to predict the relationship between the thickness of superimposed ice formed and the mean annual air temperature (which approximates the ice temperature at 14 m depth ). Thi s relationship is used to investigate the dep endence of the proportion of snowpack water equivalent which form s superimposed ice on changes in mean a nnual temperature a nd patterns of snow accumulation.Increased temper atures a re likely to reduce th e extent of the zone of superimposed-ice accumul ation a nd th e thickness of superimposed ice formed. This will have a negati ve effect on glacier m ass ba la nce. This is true even if warming occ urs only in the winter months, since near-surface ice temperatures will respond to such wa rming. ForJohn Eva ns Glacier, Ell es m ere Island, Nunavut, Ca nad a (79°40' N, 74°00' W ), a 1°C rise in m ean a nnu al a ir temperature due solely to winter warming is predicted to reduce the specific m ass ba la nce of the glacier by 0.008 m a-I as a result o f d ecreased superimp osed-ice form ation. Although such a response is sm all in compa rison to the cha nges which might result from summer warming, it is nonetheless significant given the ver y low sp ecific m ass bala nce of m any high-Arctic glaciers.